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Written a few years ago - has anything changed for the better?
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<p>[QUOTE="World Colonial, post: 2411166, member: 78153"]"Missing out" on potential gains is one of the primary drivers of excessive risk taking and directly contributed to by moral hazard. Sure, it is a 'risk" but most people never consider the disproportionate outcome from being wrong versus being right. And to provide a hint, when most people are wrong, given the pittance they have in savings and net worth, it could ruin them as has already occurred due to the "Great Recession". Millions have had their financial lives changed forever because they lost much of their savings, then lost their job and since then found one that paid less or much less. Seven years into this economic "recovery", the data I have seen states that the inflation adjusted median net worth is about a third less than 15 years ago, at about $54,000 today versus over $80,000.</p><p><br /></p><p>Reviewing history is fine except that history until recently didn't include the greatest asset, credit and debt mania in the history of civilization. This is exactly what we are living through now and have been since at least the mid-1990's. Most people are just not aware of it because they now consider it "normal", possibly have never experienced anything else, recency bias and a false sense of confidence in the ability of government to prevent declining living standards.</p><p><br /></p><p>FDIC deposit insurance is a form of moral hazard and has contributed mightily to the current reckless banking practices which are generally considered but actually anything but "safe and sound". It ultimately won't prevent anything but instead create a "fat tail" distribution "black swan" event which is at best part of a giant put option on the USD. Moreover, I wouldn't count on getting 100% of your deposit balance back in a crisis. Bank "bail ins" are definitely going to be an option, whether most people believe it or not. The "money" most think they have on deposit with the bank is actually a loan to the bank.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="World Colonial, post: 2411166, member: 78153"]"Missing out" on potential gains is one of the primary drivers of excessive risk taking and directly contributed to by moral hazard. Sure, it is a 'risk" but most people never consider the disproportionate outcome from being wrong versus being right. And to provide a hint, when most people are wrong, given the pittance they have in savings and net worth, it could ruin them as has already occurred due to the "Great Recession". Millions have had their financial lives changed forever because they lost much of their savings, then lost their job and since then found one that paid less or much less. Seven years into this economic "recovery", the data I have seen states that the inflation adjusted median net worth is about a third less than 15 years ago, at about $54,000 today versus over $80,000. Reviewing history is fine except that history until recently didn't include the greatest asset, credit and debt mania in the history of civilization. This is exactly what we are living through now and have been since at least the mid-1990's. Most people are just not aware of it because they now consider it "normal", possibly have never experienced anything else, recency bias and a false sense of confidence in the ability of government to prevent declining living standards. FDIC deposit insurance is a form of moral hazard and has contributed mightily to the current reckless banking practices which are generally considered but actually anything but "safe and sound". It ultimately won't prevent anything but instead create a "fat tail" distribution "black swan" event which is at best part of a giant put option on the USD. Moreover, I wouldn't count on getting 100% of your deposit balance back in a crisis. Bank "bail ins" are definitely going to be an option, whether most people believe it or not. The "money" most think they have on deposit with the bank is actually a loan to the bank.[/QUOTE]
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