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<p>[QUOTE="fatima, post: 1334590, member: 22143"]The absolute failure of "economic theory' as taught and practiced in the USA/Anglo Saxon world is that it can't deal with an economy that doesn't grow. i.e. Contemporary theory does not believe that a successful, stable, well run economy that provides for society is possible unless it is constantly growing. Furthermore that growth always has to occur on a % basis and not on an absolute basis. The thought of anything different, anything that would suggest there are other alternatives is so alien to this entrenched mentality, that it simply can't be accepted or tolerated. </p><p><br /></p><p>As always, very simple mathematics says this contemporary thinking is wrong. Any system grown at a constant linear percentage basis ends up with exponential growth. The math can't be ignored, but we still have people who claim that we can continue to grow economies on a percentage basis. Exponentially growing systems always end with two possibilities. Growth abruptly stops or they continue on until there is a violent collapse. </p><p><br /></p><p>Since economists, governments and most investors ignore this, they end up looking for the government to get involved to "fix" the math when the real economy gets maxed out. They do this by creating money. It works for a while but it results in booms and busts that continue to get larger and more frequent until a system wide collapse comes. (when this happens paper promises get broken) When this no longer works, they start breaking laws, telling lies, and changing rules to protect the status quo. </p><p><br /></p><p>These events take generations to work out and that is why I say history is irrelevant UNLESS your history includes a long enough timeline to take this into account. The prudent investor needs to figure out where they with their life relative to this. Just because one's granddad did well by buying stock, doesn't mean your will. One HAS to understand what is driving the market today and not what drove it in 1950. Advice that stocks will always go up or house prices will always go up because they always have is just nonsense.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="fatima, post: 1334590, member: 22143"]The absolute failure of "economic theory' as taught and practiced in the USA/Anglo Saxon world is that it can't deal with an economy that doesn't grow. i.e. Contemporary theory does not believe that a successful, stable, well run economy that provides for society is possible unless it is constantly growing. Furthermore that growth always has to occur on a % basis and not on an absolute basis. The thought of anything different, anything that would suggest there are other alternatives is so alien to this entrenched mentality, that it simply can't be accepted or tolerated. As always, very simple mathematics says this contemporary thinking is wrong. Any system grown at a constant linear percentage basis ends up with exponential growth. The math can't be ignored, but we still have people who claim that we can continue to grow economies on a percentage basis. Exponentially growing systems always end with two possibilities. Growth abruptly stops or they continue on until there is a violent collapse. Since economists, governments and most investors ignore this, they end up looking for the government to get involved to "fix" the math when the real economy gets maxed out. They do this by creating money. It works for a while but it results in booms and busts that continue to get larger and more frequent until a system wide collapse comes. (when this happens paper promises get broken) When this no longer works, they start breaking laws, telling lies, and changing rules to protect the status quo. These events take generations to work out and that is why I say history is irrelevant UNLESS your history includes a long enough timeline to take this into account. The prudent investor needs to figure out where they with their life relative to this. Just because one's granddad did well by buying stock, doesn't mean your will. One HAS to understand what is driving the market today and not what drove it in 1950. Advice that stocks will always go up or house prices will always go up because they always have is just nonsense.[/QUOTE]
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