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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;Lucky Cuss, post: 1864745, member: 44086&quot;]I guess since I started this, I ought to weigh in on how I see the current state of affairs.&nbsp; From a purely technical standpoint, the chart over the last 9 months or so looks like a bearish but ragged &quot;head and shoulders&quot; top, but this is following a long decline, so I don&#039;t think that&#039;s a very good indicator at this point.&nbsp; There does seem to be support above $19, but if it broke through that floor, I&#039;d say it&#039;ll be a case of &quot;look out below!&quot;&nbsp; On the other hand, it seems to me like it&#039;d have to jump decisively above $24 to sustain any upward momentum.&nbsp; The real question is what data tipping point or external geopolitical/economic event could nudge this market in one direction or the other, and whose crystal ball is clear enough to say what that might be?</p><p>&nbsp;</p><p>In short, I don&#039;t have a good sense on this right now, and can admit it.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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