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<p>[QUOTE="Juan Blanco, post: 1603620, member: 41665"]What happened the to the Silver to $100 thread? (or was it $80?) lol</p><p><br /></p><p>Silver is ~2x as volatile as Gold, and I believe there's ~correlation of the PMs ; I watch Gold primarily. </p><p>My original 12/31/2012 Gold call was pretty close, but I admitted in mid Nov. that I was too conservative on the downside: </p><p><a href="http://www.cointalk.com/t217473-6/#post1603617" class="internalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://www.cointalk.com/t217473-6/#post1603617">http://www.cointalk.com/t217473-6/#post1603617</a></p><p><br /></p><p>Please note Jim Roger's statement 12/18/2012 that "{Gold has} been correcting for 15-16 months now, which is normal in my view, and it's possible that correction is going to continue for a while longer." I think volatility (if investors flee to cash) will <i>dampen </i><i>not bolster</i> Gold asset allocation by institutional investors in the short term (bearish scenario.) If the economy IS improving, however, PMs are NOT the asset-class to focus on. </p><p><br /></p><p>Either way (things generally get better, or worse) I suppose 2013 for Gold will look more like 1975 or 1976. Next 3 months? I foresee more downside for PMs, with better buying opportunities in the Spring 2013. </p><p><br /></p><p>So 2013 Low POS @ $19.? That's a distinct possibility, not yet <i>probable </i>- and just my two cents. This picture is still way too murky, let's see how the ongoing fiscal crisis plays out...[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Juan Blanco, post: 1603620, member: 41665"]What happened the to the Silver to $100 thread? (or was it $80?) lol Silver is ~2x as volatile as Gold, and I believe there's ~correlation of the PMs ; I watch Gold primarily. My original 12/31/2012 Gold call was pretty close, but I admitted in mid Nov. that I was too conservative on the downside: [URL]http://www.cointalk.com/t217473-6/#post1603617[/URL] Please note Jim Roger's statement 12/18/2012 that "{Gold has} been correcting for 15-16 months now, which is normal in my view, and it's possible that correction is going to continue for a while longer." I think volatility (if investors flee to cash) will [I]dampen [/I][I]not bolster[/I] Gold asset allocation by institutional investors in the short term (bearish scenario.) If the economy IS improving, however, PMs are NOT the asset-class to focus on. Either way (things generally get better, or worse) I suppose 2013 for Gold will look more like 1975 or 1976. Next 3 months? I foresee more downside for PMs, with better buying opportunities in the Spring 2013. So 2013 Low POS @ $19.? That's a distinct possibility, not yet [I]probable [/I]- and just my two cents. This picture is still way too murky, let's see how the ongoing fiscal crisis plays out...[/QUOTE]
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