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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;Brett_in_Sacto, post: 2379972, member: 71510&quot;]I consider a 10 year window to be fair as solid long term data, and it wasn&#039;t a random window - it was the last 10 years.&nbsp; I guess my point is that saying &quot;stocks will always beat&quot; is not true.&nbsp; It is true that you can grab a sample window to prove a point and cut it off on either side for effect.</p><p><br /></p><p>The key is understanding market momentum, and knowing when to tap the trends that you see making a change.</p><p><br /></p><p>At some point everyone must pull out and realize their gains or losses.</p><p><br /></p><p>The same sheeple that were buying blue chips when the DOW hit 18.4k last year are probably the same people that were speculating in real estate in 2008.</p><p><br /></p><p>As for gold and silver, I think we&#039;ve seen the big rise in the last couple months and that will now stabilize.&nbsp; I think we may see both go up a bit more as we near the election, but I think it will be range bound to ~$1350 and $17.50 respectively for the next year or so.</p><p><br /></p><p>Breaks downward will be followed with heavy buying, and breaks upward will be heavy selling to realize short term gains.</p><p><br /></p><p>Always lead, never follow - Viva La Contrarion!&nbsp; <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie1" alt=":)" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" />[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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