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what signals the end of the bull market right before it crashes?
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<p>[QUOTE="medoraman, post: 1288052, member: 26302"]Yes sir, but we are talking about longer horizons. Your dates are intentionally picking extremes, starting at the very bottom of a major correction, and selilng at the very top of that rebound. Look at the price of the S&P over a 5 or a ten year time frame and compare versus what has happened to PM in the same timeframe. If you wished to say that 10 years ago it was at the bottom of a correction for PM that would be fair, but I simply do not think the timeframes you are picking are representational of the overall market trends. Its the exact same as if someone arguing against gold pointed out the value it lost between Jan 1980 and Feb 1981, and them saying that PROVES gold is a bad investment. Both statements are simply untrue, and founded on intentionally manipulated time frames picked.</p><p><br /></p><p>The owner of Netflix has nothing to do with the overall market, the poor stock performance is purely a reflection of his dramatic price increases, mass confusion of his customers, and just general ineptitude.</p><p><br /></p><p>Btw, as a general point to everyone, always be VERY careful when someone makes an argument picking seemingly random date ranges. Usually they are choosing those dates to make their point for them, but also usually the dates intentionally misleading. Choosing the date range is one of the most used financial manipulations out there, what the person is saying is technically true, but the conclusions are usually misleading.</p><p><br /></p><p>No offense meant Fatima, I just think choosing your dates WAY overaccentuates your point. Choose a more innocuous date range and I am completely open to considering your point.</p><p><br /></p><p>Chris[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="medoraman, post: 1288052, member: 26302"]Yes sir, but we are talking about longer horizons. Your dates are intentionally picking extremes, starting at the very bottom of a major correction, and selilng at the very top of that rebound. Look at the price of the S&P over a 5 or a ten year time frame and compare versus what has happened to PM in the same timeframe. If you wished to say that 10 years ago it was at the bottom of a correction for PM that would be fair, but I simply do not think the timeframes you are picking are representational of the overall market trends. Its the exact same as if someone arguing against gold pointed out the value it lost between Jan 1980 and Feb 1981, and them saying that PROVES gold is a bad investment. Both statements are simply untrue, and founded on intentionally manipulated time frames picked. The owner of Netflix has nothing to do with the overall market, the poor stock performance is purely a reflection of his dramatic price increases, mass confusion of his customers, and just general ineptitude. Btw, as a general point to everyone, always be VERY careful when someone makes an argument picking seemingly random date ranges. Usually they are choosing those dates to make their point for them, but also usually the dates intentionally misleading. Choosing the date range is one of the most used financial manipulations out there, what the person is saying is technically true, but the conclusions are usually misleading. No offense meant Fatima, I just think choosing your dates WAY overaccentuates your point. Choose a more innocuous date range and I am completely open to considering your point. Chris[/QUOTE]
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what signals the end of the bull market right before it crashes?
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