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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;anchor1112, post: 1291672, member: 4148&quot;]posted by &quot;annie0926&quot; from another coin forum.</p><p><br /></p><p>my conservative analysis on $1,500.00&#039;s result sold from e-bay.</p><p><br /></p><p>since australian one ounce dragon priced at $99.00 with 300,000 mintage. then the 25th anniversary is only 100,000.</p><p><br /></p><p>i priced u.s. 25th anniversary silver eagle as follows:</p><p>silver proof -------------------------- $58.95 (u.s. mint) estimate mintage 900,000 to 1,000,000</p><p>silver reverse proof with p mint mark-- $700.00 estimate mintage below 100,000</p><p>uncirculated with s mint mark -------- $700.00 estimate mintage below 100,000</p><p>uncirculated with w mint mark --------- $50.95 (u.s. mint) estimate mintage 360,000 to 420,000 (lowest is 2006w 466,573).</p><p>bullion uncirculated ------------------- $40.50 (apmex) estimate mintage 40,000,000 to 44,000,000 (mintage highest ever).</p><p><br /></p><p>now if we expect this set to go beyond $2,000.00. then these two coins should be:</p><p>silver reverse proof with p mint mark -- $1,000.00 to $1,200.00</p><p>uncirculated with s mint mark --------- $1,000.00 to $1,200.00</p><p><br /></p><p>i think those prices should be the maximum that 25th anniversary can get.</p><p><br /></p><p>why?</p><p>1995w proof silver eagle -------------- $2,800.00 to $3,200.00 (mintage 30,000)</p><p>2006w reverse proof eagle ------------ $380.00 to $400.00 (mintage 250,000)</p><p><br /></p><p>the only problem is which one of the 2011 reverse proof with (p) mint mark or unc with (s) mint mark should be quote higher than each other?. for the meantime. we just quote it the same price.</p><p><br /></p><p>now. next move. in order for this set to hit $4,000.00. i don&#039;t know. maybe the 1995w silver eagle and 2006w reverse proof should go up too accordingly.</p><p><br /></p><p>posted and replied by &quot;silverfire&quot; from another coin forum:</p><p><br /></p><p>I arrive at similar numbers, but with a bit different methodology. I&#039;ve based it on the past annual ase set. Below is a copy/paste and some additional notes.</p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>Let&#039;s simplify it.</p><p><br /></p><p>- Buyer looks at 2006 set and the original buy price = 100</p><p>- sees the current sell price of 300-400 for the same 2006 set.</p><p>- concludes that the 2011, if following history might fetch 300 X 4 = 1,200</p><p>pretty basic.</p><p><br /></p><p>**2006 peaked at 6-700 (6.5x), If 2011 peaked in a similar way, we would see $300 X 6.5 = $1950 ... but as you see below - things aren&#039;t quite the same **</p><p><br /></p><p>now, here are your wrenches:</p><p><br /></p><p>- do you think there are more ase collectors in 2006 or 2011?</p><p>- how many ase&#039;s were sold in 2006 vs 2011?</p><p>- which set has less than 50% of the mintage of the other?</p><p>- which set has the 2nd and 3rd rarest ase&#039;s of all time?</p><p>- which set sold out in 4.5 hours and which one sold out in 2 1/2 months?</p><p>- in 2006 was silver popular? How about 2011?</p><p><br /></p><p>Based on this information I tend to think 1K is the minimum with high-demand peaks in the 2-4K range. At least that&#039;s how I arrived at it.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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