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What are Realistic Silver and Gold Prices?
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<p>[QUOTE="The Eidolon, post: 7631651, member: 102103"]I would look at a silver <a href="https://www.kitco.com/commentaries/2020-08-04/This-inflation-adjusted-silver-chart-tells-an-interesting-story.html" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="https://www.kitco.com/commentaries/2020-08-04/This-inflation-adjusted-silver-chart-tells-an-interesting-story.html" rel="nofollow">price chart adjusted for inflation</a> to get a rough estimate.</p><p>In the short time, prices can bob up and down sharply because they are adjusting on the fly to new information about inflation, monetary policy, world events, etc. But prices tend to overreact and then correct in the other direction. The answer you get as to whether silver (or gold) are undervalued will depend on what year you use as a baseline. </p><p><br /></p><p>It looks like silver might be about average now compared to its historical valuations. I would guess in the short term it may well zigzag upward, but in the long term it will probably revert to close to its historical inflation-adjusted average. So I'm not bullish in the longer term. Appreciating assets (stocks, bonds, real estate) which average higher-than-inflation gains are in the long run a much safer bet than commodities, if you diversify and buy at intervals (well, maybe not for real estate) to take advantage of dollar-cost averaging.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="The Eidolon, post: 7631651, member: 102103"]I would look at a silver [URL='https://www.kitco.com/commentaries/2020-08-04/This-inflation-adjusted-silver-chart-tells-an-interesting-story.html']price chart adjusted for inflation[/URL] to get a rough estimate. In the short time, prices can bob up and down sharply because they are adjusting on the fly to new information about inflation, monetary policy, world events, etc. But prices tend to overreact and then correct in the other direction. The answer you get as to whether silver (or gold) are undervalued will depend on what year you use as a baseline. It looks like silver might be about average now compared to its historical valuations. I would guess in the short term it may well zigzag upward, but in the long term it will probably revert to close to its historical inflation-adjusted average. So I'm not bullish in the longer term. Appreciating assets (stocks, bonds, real estate) which average higher-than-inflation gains are in the long run a much safer bet than commodities, if you diversify and buy at intervals (well, maybe not for real estate) to take advantage of dollar-cost averaging.[/QUOTE]
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