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what are indicators of deflation before it hits?
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<p>[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 964553, member: 3011"]In your example, the increase in gas prices is NOT inflationary. The effect is NOT the same. There are always price increases and decreases in a free market as supply and demand adjust. If there is a disruption in the supply of something, the price rises. If demand for beanie babies goes through the roof, the price rises. This has nothing to do with inflation and deflation. In the 1970s, the Arabs embargoed shipments of oil to the US and the price rose. This, by itself, is not inflationary. It depends completely on the monetary policy decision regarding how to react to it. In the 1970s, the government decided to monetize the price increase and the inflation rate went up. If they decided not to monetize it, the price of other goods and services would have to fall. But overall prices would have remained the same.</p><p><br /></p><p>Understanding inflation isn't simple because Americans typically are not precise in the use of language, and as Keynes pointed out, "not one man in a million will figure it out." [slightly paraphrased] But it is important to understand that changes in prices do not represent inflation or deflation.</p><p><br /></p><p>Anyway, that's all I'll have to say about this because it can become repetitious, and you can have the last word. Some people will get it, some won't. I just wanted to put the correct answer out there in the hope of helping some people understand it.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 964553, member: 3011"]In your example, the increase in gas prices is NOT inflationary. The effect is NOT the same. There are always price increases and decreases in a free market as supply and demand adjust. If there is a disruption in the supply of something, the price rises. If demand for beanie babies goes through the roof, the price rises. This has nothing to do with inflation and deflation. In the 1970s, the Arabs embargoed shipments of oil to the US and the price rose. This, by itself, is not inflationary. It depends completely on the monetary policy decision regarding how to react to it. In the 1970s, the government decided to monetize the price increase and the inflation rate went up. If they decided not to monetize it, the price of other goods and services would have to fall. But overall prices would have remained the same. Understanding inflation isn't simple because Americans typically are not precise in the use of language, and as Keynes pointed out, "not one man in a million will figure it out." [slightly paraphrased] But it is important to understand that changes in prices do not represent inflation or deflation. Anyway, that's all I'll have to say about this because it can become repetitious, and you can have the last word. Some people will get it, some won't. I just wanted to put the correct answer out there in the hope of helping some people understand it.[/QUOTE]
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