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<p>[QUOTE="bkm, post: 447330, member: 16045"]>Don't make the mistake of buying common modern bullion, the rewards >come from buying old gold (pre 1933).</p><p> </p><p>I'll consider your advise, but I'm wary of numismatic values. In essence, they depend entirely on a form of nostalgia. The supply has an absolute limit and that understandably contributes to the price equation, but it assumes there will be demand. Gold itself has a several thousand year track record of demand. US coins do not. I also believe that the numismatic value of US coins is strictly limited geographically. There are exceedingly few people in Vietnam, Egypt, or Guatamala that would pay above spot for them. 200 years from the now the geopolitical landscape could very easily be as different as it is from California to Albania.</p><p> </p><p>Why coins at all then? Why not just lumps of metal? Because they are recognized currency. Doubloons were common bullion. If I showed you a Doubloon, you would immediately have an idea of exactly what it is. You would assume it fit your standard concept of a doubloon, but you'd want to test it to see if it was genuine. Whereas with an unrecognized bar, you'd have nothing to base your expectations on -- you'd assume the worst.</p><p> </p><p>Now the various kinds of doubloons certainly have numismatic value today -- but will today's semi-numismatic coins have anything more than melt value in a quarter millenium? It seems to me that the legacy of the US is that it rejected gold coin and money. If I were 250 years in the future and found myself nostalgic about the US, I might not be interested in gold coins which were nothing but an obscurity in its history. On the other hand, melt values might be even lower if they are able to synthesize gold with low-cost nuclear fusion.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="bkm, post: 447330, member: 16045"]>Don't make the mistake of buying common modern bullion, the rewards >come from buying old gold (pre 1933). I'll consider your advise, but I'm wary of numismatic values. In essence, they depend entirely on a form of nostalgia. The supply has an absolute limit and that understandably contributes to the price equation, but it assumes there will be demand. Gold itself has a several thousand year track record of demand. US coins do not. I also believe that the numismatic value of US coins is strictly limited geographically. There are exceedingly few people in Vietnam, Egypt, or Guatamala that would pay above spot for them. 200 years from the now the geopolitical landscape could very easily be as different as it is from California to Albania. Why coins at all then? Why not just lumps of metal? Because they are recognized currency. Doubloons were common bullion. If I showed you a Doubloon, you would immediately have an idea of exactly what it is. You would assume it fit your standard concept of a doubloon, but you'd want to test it to see if it was genuine. Whereas with an unrecognized bar, you'd have nothing to base your expectations on -- you'd assume the worst. Now the various kinds of doubloons certainly have numismatic value today -- but will today's semi-numismatic coins have anything more than melt value in a quarter millenium? It seems to me that the legacy of the US is that it rejected gold coin and money. If I were 250 years in the future and found myself nostalgic about the US, I might not be interested in gold coins which were nothing but an obscurity in its history. On the other hand, melt values might be even lower if they are able to synthesize gold with low-cost nuclear fusion.[/QUOTE]
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