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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;Juan Blanco, post: 1628203, member: 41665&quot;]Agreed, the onesie-twosie crowd will <i>sometimes </i>overpay by ~30- 60% (as I wrote: &quot;true uninformed buyers pay more for singles more often&quot;) but look more carefully. </p><p>Lots of high rates BINs DON&#039;T SELL at all. Don&#039;t cherry-pick &#039;the onesie&#039; High (or Low) Price and call that &quot;the market&quot; either. I averaged all 1/29/13 junk sales, <i>weighted by volume/#s,</i> that&#039;s market. Nor should you conflate the &quot;Choice BU&quot; coins with worn junk (as you did: &quot;Mint State&quot; example) ; rather, aggregate same-same and weight completed auctions accordingly. </p><p><br /></p><p>Sure there are LOTS of folks who&#039;d like to <i>sell higher</i>... but they CAN&#039;T. That&#039;s exactly my point. It&#039;s a Bull Trap, beware.</p><p><br /></p><p>1/30/13: POS 32.02/ Intrinsic 1.80 ....this junk War Nickel <i>didn&#039;t sell </i>at $3.70&gt;&gt;&gt; and won&#039;t likely sell at $3.14, POS @ 27 either. But net feeBay -13%, that coin&#039;s a sure loser for someone PAYING even $3. now. </p><p><a href="http://rover.ebay.com/rover/1/711-53200-19255-0/1?type=3&amp;campid=5335874456&amp;toolid=10001&amp;mpre=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ebay.com%2Fitm%2F1944-P-JEFFERSON-SILVER-WAR-NICKEL-%2F200887700487" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://rover.ebay.com/rover/1/711-53200-19255-0/1?type=3&amp;campid=5335874456&amp;toolid=10001&amp;mpre=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ebay.com%2Fitm%2F1944-P-JEFFERSON-SILVER-WAR-NICKEL-%2F200887700487" rel="nofollow">http://www.ebay.com/itm/1944-P-JEFFERSON-SILVER-WAR-NICKEL-/200887700487</a></p><p><br /></p><p>The biggest question left answered here: given declining Ag coin sales at current POS levels, WHY ASSUME MOST NOOBS WILL HAVE MORE $s TO BUY <u>MORE</u> War Nickels AT EVEN HIGHER PRICES? That (il)logic goes squarely against everything taught in Econ 100: check that, chief. It&#039;s bubblicious, Silverfishy nonsense, frankly.</p><p><br /></p><p>Buying War Nickels at (high POS) Intrinsic rates today looks to be a very dodgy proposition. This is Seller&#039;s Market Moment --- as good as it gets? ---and <i>quite the opposite </i>of a Buyer&#039;s Sweet Opportunity. Anyway, informed bullion buyers are waiting for better prices, <b>POS @ 22.-25. </b>War Nickels will be &quot;worth&quot; ~ $1.24 - 1.41 when that retrace happens, inevitably. We shall see...</p><p><br /></p><p>Keep your powder dry &#039;til then! (April? June?)[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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