Log in or Sign up
Coin Talk
Home
Forums
>
Coin Forums
>
Bullion Investing
>
Two Years Of Zero Interest! Oh Yeah, She's Going Up!
>
Reply to Thread
Message:
<p>[QUOTE="Rono, post: 1358348, member: 6492"]Howdy,</p><p><br /></p><p>Thanks for the kind words. I agree with you completely that mining stocks are very risky. I'm sorry that I wasn't more explicit on this. I left it at most speculative and highest leverage. I'm lax in that I figure I'm preaching to an informed choir and so I have a tendency to leave out some of the more obvious warts. Indeed, the safest way to play the junior miners for gold is with GDXJ and with silver, the miner ETF is SIL. I own both, so please note that I'm speaking 'from position'. Running individual miners is great fun, but good God, do it for sh*ts and giggles and with mad money. My traditional IRA was a Price and via their network I was able to access penny stocks and pink sheet issues. It was a gas and I did OK [mostly because I was swimming with the current]. But then I 've always been a little crazy. I moved my wifes Roth to EuroPacific for a while so that I could access international exchanges directly and get into some really nutzoid stuff. feh. You don't do it with the rent. This account was anchored by a health dose of PRPFX and NCV with BHP for ballast. That's how you moderate the risk of some of these issues. Use casino money. </p><p><br /></p><p>Why play? It's fun. Besides, you can occasionally make some real money. </p><p><br /></p><p>I've always felt that silver was the play. Always . . . and from way back. ****, I was even one of the few that owned the original silver mutual fund - I think it was SLSLX or something like that. This was back in the 90's and I lost money. I was clicking my heels though and man, with silver under $5, it was 'back up the truck'. </p><p><br /></p><p>We've discussed it around here before about the long time ratio of gold/silver. Some of us give this credence and some not. That's OK. I use it as a tool to help me determine the specific balance of gold to silver that I want to own at any one time. Ideally, you could invest all your gold and silver in exactly the ratio and rebalance as it changes. Regardless, the current ratio is 1 to 51 and I personally think that it should be much lower. This tells me to overweight silver relative to gold - on the margin. The other metric is the gold/XAU ratio. It contrasts bullion to the mining stocks. The historic equilibrium level is 4-5 with lower numbers a Buy Bullion signal and higher a Buy Stocks signal. It's presently 8.6. Even though I think the bullion ETFs have raised the equilibrium level, this is still way high and a signal to me to overweight miners relative to bullion - on the margin.</p><p><br /></p><p>and so it goes,</p><p><br /></p><p>peace,</p><p><br /></p><p>rono[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Rono, post: 1358348, member: 6492"]Howdy, Thanks for the kind words. I agree with you completely that mining stocks are very risky. I'm sorry that I wasn't more explicit on this. I left it at most speculative and highest leverage. I'm lax in that I figure I'm preaching to an informed choir and so I have a tendency to leave out some of the more obvious warts. Indeed, the safest way to play the junior miners for gold is with GDXJ and with silver, the miner ETF is SIL. I own both, so please note that I'm speaking 'from position'. Running individual miners is great fun, but good God, do it for sh*ts and giggles and with mad money. My traditional IRA was a Price and via their network I was able to access penny stocks and pink sheet issues. It was a gas and I did OK [mostly because I was swimming with the current]. But then I 've always been a little crazy. I moved my wifes Roth to EuroPacific for a while so that I could access international exchanges directly and get into some really nutzoid stuff. feh. You don't do it with the rent. This account was anchored by a health dose of PRPFX and NCV with BHP for ballast. That's how you moderate the risk of some of these issues. Use casino money. Why play? It's fun. Besides, you can occasionally make some real money. I've always felt that silver was the play. Always . . . and from way back. ****, I was even one of the few that owned the original silver mutual fund - I think it was SLSLX or something like that. This was back in the 90's and I lost money. I was clicking my heels though and man, with silver under $5, it was 'back up the truck'. We've discussed it around here before about the long time ratio of gold/silver. Some of us give this credence and some not. That's OK. I use it as a tool to help me determine the specific balance of gold to silver that I want to own at any one time. Ideally, you could invest all your gold and silver in exactly the ratio and rebalance as it changes. Regardless, the current ratio is 1 to 51 and I personally think that it should be much lower. This tells me to overweight silver relative to gold - on the margin. The other metric is the gold/XAU ratio. It contrasts bullion to the mining stocks. The historic equilibrium level is 4-5 with lower numbers a Buy Bullion signal and higher a Buy Stocks signal. It's presently 8.6. Even though I think the bullion ETFs have raised the equilibrium level, this is still way high and a signal to me to overweight miners relative to bullion - on the margin. and so it goes, peace, rono[/QUOTE]
Your name or email address:
Do you already have an account?
No, create an account now.
Yes, my password is:
Forgot your password?
Stay logged in
Coin Talk
Home
Forums
>
Coin Forums
>
Bullion Investing
>
Two Years Of Zero Interest! Oh Yeah, She's Going Up!
>
Home
Home
Quick Links
Search Forums
Recent Activity
Recent Posts
Forums
Forums
Quick Links
Search Forums
Recent Posts
Competitions
Competitions
Quick Links
Competition Index
Rules, Terms & Conditions
Gallery
Gallery
Quick Links
Search Media
New Media
Showcase
Showcase
Quick Links
Search Items
Most Active Members
New Items
Directory
Directory
Quick Links
Directory Home
New Listings
Members
Members
Quick Links
Notable Members
Current Visitors
Recent Activity
New Profile Posts
Sponsors
Menu
Search
Search titles only
Posted by Member:
Separate names with a comma.
Newer Than:
Search this thread only
Search this forum only
Display results as threads
Useful Searches
Recent Posts
More...