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<p>[QUOTE="Rono, post: 1357536, member: 6492"]<b>two more years of QE to the nth</b></p><p><br /></p><p>Howdy,</p><p><br /></p><p>Their announcement about keeping rates at zero for another couple of years implies QE 2.5, 3, 4, 5, 6 . . . </p><p><br /></p><p>And as mentioned, the opportunity cost of owning gold is zero because interest rates are zero. </p><p><br /></p><p>What that also means regarding interest rates, is that the supply of credit will remain severely diminished. What is happening is that with the Feds holding interest rates artificially low - lower than the street rate, you wind up with restricted supply. Classic Econ 101 supply/demand curves in a fixed price market - supply disappears. Remember gas price controls under Nixon? All of a sudden everyone is out of gas. duh. How about bullion a couple of years back with the paper price diverged so greatly from the street price that supply disappeared and/or premiums skyrockteted? Same/same. Right now, 30 year fixed mortgages are being touted at 3.8% or thereabouts. Yeah, right. Try to actually find one. Unless you have a huge downpayment and an 800+ credit score, "sorry, we're all out of money". Find me a banker that wants to loan you 6 figures at 3.8% for 30 years . . . yeah, right. "Are you crazy. Now, if we write it for 5.85-6%, well maybe I can find some money to loan you."</p><p><br /></p><p>So, with the announcement, you know that pm's have another couple of years at the very least, inflation is coming and you can hear the bloody hoofbeats, and credit will remain tighter than . . . . =====>>>>> own some gold, guard against inflation, and if you can borrow money - do so.</p><p><br /></p><p>peace,</p><p><br /></p><p>rono[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Rono, post: 1357536, member: 6492"][b]two more years of QE to the nth[/b] Howdy, Their announcement about keeping rates at zero for another couple of years implies QE 2.5, 3, 4, 5, 6 . . . And as mentioned, the opportunity cost of owning gold is zero because interest rates are zero. What that also means regarding interest rates, is that the supply of credit will remain severely diminished. What is happening is that with the Feds holding interest rates artificially low - lower than the street rate, you wind up with restricted supply. Classic Econ 101 supply/demand curves in a fixed price market - supply disappears. Remember gas price controls under Nixon? All of a sudden everyone is out of gas. duh. How about bullion a couple of years back with the paper price diverged so greatly from the street price that supply disappeared and/or premiums skyrockteted? Same/same. Right now, 30 year fixed mortgages are being touted at 3.8% or thereabouts. Yeah, right. Try to actually find one. Unless you have a huge downpayment and an 800+ credit score, "sorry, we're all out of money". Find me a banker that wants to loan you 6 figures at 3.8% for 30 years . . . yeah, right. "Are you crazy. Now, if we write it for 5.85-6%, well maybe I can find some money to loan you." So, with the announcement, you know that pm's have another couple of years at the very least, inflation is coming and you can hear the bloody hoofbeats, and credit will remain tighter than . . . . =====>>>>> own some gold, guard against inflation, and if you can borrow money - do so. peace, rono[/QUOTE]
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