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<p>[QUOTE="flydl2atl, post: 778006, member: 18355"]I agree technically yes - inflation is defined as an increase in the money supply. Your belief is that gold and silver are good inflation hedges - based upon that I thought you were referring to price inflation and thus gave counter examples to show how gold does not track price inflation very well.</p><p><br /></p><p>There's a great analysis on seekingAlpha that examines the correlation between the price of gold and the money supply. The author concludes that " moves in gold price appear to come before moves in the money supply" and also that "the money supply can expand now without gold necessarily increasing in value."</p><p><br /></p><p><a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/108718-gold-price-and-the-money-supply" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/108718-gold-price-and-the-money-supply" rel="nofollow">http://seekingalpha.com/article/108718-gold-price-and-the-money-supply</a></p><p><br /></p><p>My point is to simply show that there isn't a correlation between inflation and the price of gold - and therefore by definition cannot be a good hedge against inflation.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="flydl2atl, post: 778006, member: 18355"]I agree technically yes - inflation is defined as an increase in the money supply. Your belief is that gold and silver are good inflation hedges - based upon that I thought you were referring to price inflation and thus gave counter examples to show how gold does not track price inflation very well. There's a great analysis on seekingAlpha that examines the correlation between the price of gold and the money supply. The author concludes that " moves in gold price appear to come before moves in the money supply" and also that "the money supply can expand now without gold necessarily increasing in value." [URL]http://seekingalpha.com/article/108718-gold-price-and-the-money-supply[/URL] My point is to simply show that there isn't a correlation between inflation and the price of gold - and therefore by definition cannot be a good hedge against inflation.[/QUOTE]
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