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<p>[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 1167360, member: 3011"]It should be considered that high rates of inflation are not possible unless nominal GDP is rising rapidly along with national incomes. When it isn't, every increase in the price of one item is being offset by a decrease in the price or quantity of another. Without a rising nominal GDP, the general rise in the price level that constitutes inflation is not possible, particularly in a service economy. Also, large drops in the bond, stock, and housing markets are more a symptom of delfation than inflation. And the end of QE2 will be deflationary by definition. So it may turn out that Bernanke will be proven correct over time. The forces of inflation and deflation are still in a tug of war, and it isn't clear yet which will win, or even if stability returns. For every symptom of inflation, such as rising commodity prices, there is an offsetting symptom of deflation, such as falling real estate prices. Now I'm certain that many folks will have a strong opinion one way or another, and if they are correct they will announce that they knew it all along, but all they are really doing is calling a coin flip correctly. Sorry, but that's just the way it is.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 1167360, member: 3011"]It should be considered that high rates of inflation are not possible unless nominal GDP is rising rapidly along with national incomes. When it isn't, every increase in the price of one item is being offset by a decrease in the price or quantity of another. Without a rising nominal GDP, the general rise in the price level that constitutes inflation is not possible, particularly in a service economy. Also, large drops in the bond, stock, and housing markets are more a symptom of delfation than inflation. And the end of QE2 will be deflationary by definition. So it may turn out that Bernanke will be proven correct over time. The forces of inflation and deflation are still in a tug of war, and it isn't clear yet which will win, or even if stability returns. For every symptom of inflation, such as rising commodity prices, there is an offsetting symptom of deflation, such as falling real estate prices. Now I'm certain that many folks will have a strong opinion one way or another, and if they are correct they will announce that they knew it all along, but all they are really doing is calling a coin flip correctly. Sorry, but that's just the way it is.[/QUOTE]
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