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Trading GDX Options: How Will I Lose?
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<p>[QUOTE="SD51555, post: 2246934, member: 71871"]I ask that question in all seriousness. I'm stuck in a jovial pessimist mode right now on metals. I recently finished a 401k rollover and got my paws on that money for full investment control in an IRA. </p><p><br /></p><p>[ATTACH=full]443988[/ATTACH]</p><p>[ATTACH=full]443989[/ATTACH]</p><p><br /></p><p>I have long been a bull on gold stocks. However, I have realized after many losses that I cannot pick individual stocks, so I have opted to buy the index instead. I have recently built a position in GDX and and sold some covered calls. I thought it would be fun to see how I will lose on this trade. There are three ways this can turn out:</p><p><br /></p><p><u><b>Good:</b></u> GDX hovers below my strike price, but above my buy price and I can pocket the premium and repeat. </p><p><br /></p><p><u><b>Not so good:</b></u> GDX blows through the ceiling and I lose my shares at $17 strike while they trade into the $20's at expiration. Still get a win, but lose a ton of upside. </p><p><br /></p><p><u><b>Terrible:</b></u> GDX blows through the floor, I keep the option premium, but lose way more holding the actual shares.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="SD51555, post: 2246934, member: 71871"]I ask that question in all seriousness. I'm stuck in a jovial pessimist mode right now on metals. I recently finished a 401k rollover and got my paws on that money for full investment control in an IRA. [ATTACH=full]443988[/ATTACH] [ATTACH=full]443989[/ATTACH] I have long been a bull on gold stocks. However, I have realized after many losses that I cannot pick individual stocks, so I have opted to buy the index instead. I have recently built a position in GDX and and sold some covered calls. I thought it would be fun to see how I will lose on this trade. There are three ways this can turn out: [U][B]Good:[/B][/U] GDX hovers below my strike price, but above my buy price and I can pocket the premium and repeat. [U][B]Not so good:[/B][/U] GDX blows through the ceiling and I lose my shares at $17 strike while they trade into the $20's at expiration. Still get a win, but lose a ton of upside. [U][B]Terrible:[/B][/U] GDX blows through the floor, I keep the option premium, but lose way more holding the actual shares.[/QUOTE]
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