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<p>[QUOTE="Juan Blanco, post: 1605721, member: 41665"]Fallacious reasoning, largely because "a dozen years ago" is no accurate nor acceptable baseline. Use an averge 10-year metric, to screen outliers from the focus. But even that cannot account for the unprecedented move <i>away from the USD: </i>hat's the deal-breaker, in future terms we cannot fathom.</p><p><br /></p><p>The highly volatility nature of USD/POG is a function NOT of the instability of Au (Supply/market) but rather of the Dollar itself. The DOLLAR's depreciated value - and Gold's <i>relative stability </i>against other commodities - is what's noteworthy. Grains look to be catching up with Gold pretty quickly - as that continues (again: look at the Medium- or Long-Term) this will confirm Gold was a leading indicator of the Dollar's incipient rapid depreciation/debasement. For Au, 2001-2008 was only the first stage in <i>an epic bottom</i> NOT a "top." </p><p><br /></p><p>As one example, THIS is why Iraq's CB added 768,402 ozt Au this past Fall, after previously holding almost no Gold. In other words, little Iraq (total pop. ~ 1/10 the USA, or New England + New York State) bought nearly as much Au (80%) <i>in about a month </i>as the US Mint produced in all of 2011. And Iraq is obviously not the only USD-pegged economy diversifying away from the "reserve currency" ... it's a global phenomenon.</p><p><br /></p><p>As said before, US coin production (for retail folks, like CT) is actually pretty insignificant to global demand. What we're all witnessing is a pardaigm shift. Be aware that foreign USD-holdings become a "threat" as Monopoly money gets dumped for the REAL thing: Powercash, Real Money. That inflation we've long exported will come back to haunt us eventually (and perhaps, SOON.)</p><p><br /></p><p>In the end, and missing the train, only Dollar dupes will be left holding our worth-less Paper. Watch these foreign CBs and SWFs: their demand (and not US retail) is the floor under Gold. As you should expect now and going forward, the real story is really in MENA and Asian countries:</p><p><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324461604578190841374704164.html" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324461604578190841374704164.html" rel="nofollow">http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324461604578190841374704164.html</a></p><p><br /></p><p><b>"There isn't another one coming, is there?" </b><i>Oh yes there is, dearie... but maybe not until 2014-7...</i></p><p><i></i><b>[ATTACH]226545.vB[/ATTACH]</b>[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Juan Blanco, post: 1605721, member: 41665"]Fallacious reasoning, largely because "a dozen years ago" is no accurate nor acceptable baseline. Use an averge 10-year metric, to screen outliers from the focus. But even that cannot account for the unprecedented move [I]away from the USD: [/I]hat's the deal-breaker, in future terms we cannot fathom. The highly volatility nature of USD/POG is a function NOT of the instability of Au (Supply/market) but rather of the Dollar itself. The DOLLAR's depreciated value - and Gold's [I]relative stability [/I]against other commodities - is what's noteworthy. Grains look to be catching up with Gold pretty quickly - as that continues (again: look at the Medium- or Long-Term) this will confirm Gold was a leading indicator of the Dollar's incipient rapid depreciation/debasement. For Au, 2001-2008 was only the first stage in [I]an epic bottom[/I] NOT a "top." As one example, THIS is why Iraq's CB added 768,402 ozt Au this past Fall, after previously holding almost no Gold. In other words, little Iraq (total pop. ~ 1/10 the USA, or New England + New York State) bought nearly as much Au (80%) [I]in about a month [/I]as the US Mint produced in all of 2011. And Iraq is obviously not the only USD-pegged economy diversifying away from the "reserve currency" ... it's a global phenomenon. As said before, US coin production (for retail folks, like CT) is actually pretty insignificant to global demand. What we're all witnessing is a pardaigm shift. Be aware that foreign USD-holdings become a "threat" as Monopoly money gets dumped for the REAL thing: Powercash, Real Money. That inflation we've long exported will come back to haunt us eventually (and perhaps, SOON.) In the end, and missing the train, only Dollar dupes will be left holding our worth-less Paper. Watch these foreign CBs and SWFs: their demand (and not US retail) is the floor under Gold. As you should expect now and going forward, the real story is really in MENA and Asian countries: [URL]http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324461604578190841374704164.html[/URL] [B]"There isn't another one coming, is there?" [/B][I]Oh yes there is, dearie... but maybe not until 2014-7... [/I][B][ATTACH]226545.vB[/ATTACH][/B][/QUOTE]
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