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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;-jeffB, post: 25931411, member: 27832&quot;]Thing is, if you take a few thousand people and have them guess the outcome of ten coin flips, you&#039;ll get a few who guessed right on every single one. But those &quot;track records&quot; don&#039;t mean they&#039;re any more likely to guess the <i>next</i> flip correctly.</p><p><br /></p><p>Hopefully, an analyst will be working from good information, and will do better than chance. But, as they say, &quot;past performance is <i>not</i> a guarantee of future results&quot;.</p><p><br /></p><p>On the other hand, I still pay a lot more attention to what Warren Buffet does than I do to the YouTube channel-of-the-day, guarantee or no.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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