Tariffs vs stock market vs bullion prices

Discussion in 'Bullion Investing' started by mpcusa, Feb 2, 2025.

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what are tariffs going to do to the stock market and bullion prices

  1. stock market will drop with no change to bullion prices

    4 vote(s)
    28.6%
  2. both stock market and bullion prices will see a moderate drop

    1 vote(s)
    7.1%
  3. stock market will drop with significant increase in bullion

    9 vote(s)
    64.3%
  1. mpcusa

    mpcusa "Official C.T. TROLL SWEEPER"

    the coming week should be very interesting when it comes to the tariffs which will be starting this week so what do you think will happen ?
     
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  3. Jersey magic man

    Jersey magic man Supporter! Supporter

    One thing is for sure, the extra costs will be passed on to the consumer. As for market, bullion, etc., I personally have no idea. Time will tell.
     
    Jeffjay and mpcusa like this.
  4. mpcusa

    mpcusa "Official C.T. TROLL SWEEPER"

    I think with the tariff the fed should cut the rate at least a 1/4 point to make the transition less painful but Mexico and Canada talk a big game will see how long they stay in the ring, they need us way more then we need them.
     
  5. -jeffB

    -jeffB Greshams LEO Supporter

    My heart and my lungs could argue about which one needs the other more, but on the whole I'd rather they keep cooperating.
     
    No_Ragrets, imrich, Timewarp and 4 others like this.
  6. Pickin and Grinin

    Pickin and Grinin Well-Known Member

    Tough one to wade into. It all could be easily avoided IMO.
     
    Dynoking likes this.
  7. pmbug

    pmbug Taking steps on my thousand mile journey

    I chose option 3, but I think the increase for bullion will be moderate for the near term and then significant later this year. I think the impact of the tariffs on gold/silver commodity markets will be realized over time instead of all at once.
     
    Tall Paul likes this.
  8. fretboard

    fretboard Defender of Old Coinage!

    That's the only thing we know for sure! It will definitely be a FAFO occurrence, wish I could say more but I'm limited! :D
     
    imrich and Tall Paul like this.
  9. longnine009

    longnine009 Darwin has to eat too. Supporter

    IMO, tariffs are just a VAT tax through the back door. Taxes (and inflation) leave people with less disposable income. How can that be good for the economy?

    But it should be fascinating to hear the wallstreet gurus and their "well actually" stories tomorrow.
     
  10. -jeffB

    -jeffB Greshams LEO Supporter

    I just don't have the stomach for it these days.
     
    Tall Paul likes this.
  11. Jeffjay

    Jeffjay Well-Known Member

    Whatever transpires I think it's safe to say it won't be good.
     
    Tall Paul likes this.
  12. Mr Roots

    Mr Roots Underneath The Bridge

    “they need us way more then we need them”

    Not true at all for either country.
     
  13. Timewarp

    Timewarp Intrepid Traveler

    We import more from Canada than we export to them.
     
    Jeffjay likes this.
  14. eddiespin

    eddiespin Fast Eddie

    They can produce all they want. Without our market it sits there. We've the leverage in this one big-time.
     
    rte and masterswimmer like this.
  15. psuman08

    psuman08 Active Member

    None of the above. You gave no choice where the market does not go down. There are certain areas that will be affected negatively, but overall, the market will be going up.

    Earnings for many companies are spectacular. This tariff issue is about national security, drugs crossing the border and leveling trade agreements (see how China has been avoiding tariffs by sending goods through Canada and Mexico <steel if you want an example>). Our trading partners have not been living up to their end of the agreement.
     
  16. GoldFinger1969

    GoldFinger1969 Well-Known Member

    The market doesn't know what to make of this and is feeling Trump out.

    He's not running again (unlike last time)...he believes the stock market is society's way of "keeping score" of his presidency and he wants it UP.

    Keep your eye on the ball -- earnings, the economy, and valuations -- and ignore the short-term static. :cigar:
     
  17. Heavymetal

    Heavymetal Well-Known Member

  18. mpcusa

    mpcusa "Official C.T. TROLL SWEEPER"

    the threats have worked and the USA gets its way again :)
     
    GoldFinger1969 likes this.
  19. Pickin and Grinin

    Pickin and Grinin Well-Known Member

    For the next 30 days or so.
     
    Jeffjay likes this.
  20. -jeffB

    -jeffB Greshams LEO Supporter

    Or the US blinked. Depends very much on your preconceptions.
     
    Pickin and Grinin likes this.
  21. Pickin and Grinin

    Pickin and Grinin Well-Known Member

    Nice play on words, not sure who blinked though. What did happen was the intent. The US won that mini conflict. The historians will end up telling the real story though.
     
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