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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;Numinaut, post: 5181458, member: 91259&quot;]Exactly right. The odds of hitting a big win at Lotto are so tiny that it is not really worth the bother.</p><p><br /></p><p>So in the case of bitcoin (and stocks) you can follow the macroeconomic trends and look at what the big players are doing, and so gain enough information to try to make a prediction. At present they are signalling big money piling into bitcoin. Of course they could be (and probably are) playing games and trying to steer the market. </p><p><br /></p><p>For the record, I own a fraction of one bitcoin. I&#039;m only betting a cow, just to keep an eye on the cattle market.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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