And some questionable ones: Cute, but untrue. There are a nearly unlimited number of things that might go up 50x. For nearly all of those, I don't have 98% conviction that it's not going to happen -- because I don't know enough about them, and never will, except in hindsight. It seems like you could rephrase that quote to say "if you have 2% conviction that an item will go up 50x, you must put money into it." But that's not saying the same thing. I don't have 2% conviction that Bitcoin will soar, and I don't have 98% conviction that it won't. This is not a horse race, with publicly posted odds. It's a complex, muddy, real-world situation, replete with hidden information. I'll grant your assertion that Forbes is "mostly garbage", because I have the impression that it's becoming a forum for random and unvetted contributions. This particular piece reads to me like a sales pitch. That puts me into defense mode, even more than I typically am when reading Forbes.