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<p>[QUOTE="Rono, post: 1992829, member: 6492"]Howdy,</p><p><br /></p><p>Folks have been talking about the death of the dollar for years - both as a fiat currency AND an international medium of exchange. I've been saying for years, it's the least dirty shirt in the laundry and I still feel that way. That said, it really doesn't matter. If people believe a lie and act as if it IS true - it might as well be true - at least from the way we view and react to it. </p><p><br /></p><p>In this case, whether or not the dollar (i.e. the U.S. treasury and gov't) is sound doesn't really matter if enough people treat it as if it is sound and act accordingly. </p><p><br /></p><p>We've still got this enormous debt of unfunded liabilities that they have to deal with. The total of promises was over $100 T - social security, medicare/aid, various trust funds, state and local promises, etc. Oh, and how are we paying for this latest war? Indeed, it is not politically feasible to break all the promises OR raise sufficient taxes in order to cover this tab. Ergo, they have to debase the dollar by around 50% (from 96% debased since 1913 to 94%) and they're about half way there. So far without having inflation go nuts or everything imploding. Inflation has been helped by global competition via the internet AND 20% real unemployment eliminated any wage pressure and the formula they use to calculate the CPI. </p><p><br /></p><p>Anyway, we're about halfway thru this little gambit and so far they've been pulling it off, albeit with no help from Washington or the middle east. </p><p><br /></p><p>So, as bullion investors, we have to handicap their chances of success - or better yet - of failure. Being rational, we have to assign some probability to the chances of financial meltdown. The doomsday scenario is possible - even if only 5-10%. You're welcome to assign your own number. </p><p><br /></p><p>The issue then becomes how to insulate ourselves to a degree that covers a 5-10% chance of dollar collapse. </p><p><br /></p><p>Many of us feel that having some bullion on hand is a good insulator. My grandkids have bed buddies. My wee stash of pm's is my bed buddy.</p><p><br /></p><p>and so it goes,</p><p><br /></p><p>peace,</p><p><br /></p><p>rono[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Rono, post: 1992829, member: 6492"]Howdy, Folks have been talking about the death of the dollar for years - both as a fiat currency AND an international medium of exchange. I've been saying for years, it's the least dirty shirt in the laundry and I still feel that way. That said, it really doesn't matter. If people believe a lie and act as if it IS true - it might as well be true - at least from the way we view and react to it. In this case, whether or not the dollar (i.e. the U.S. treasury and gov't) is sound doesn't really matter if enough people treat it as if it is sound and act accordingly. We've still got this enormous debt of unfunded liabilities that they have to deal with. The total of promises was over $100 T - social security, medicare/aid, various trust funds, state and local promises, etc. Oh, and how are we paying for this latest war? Indeed, it is not politically feasible to break all the promises OR raise sufficient taxes in order to cover this tab. Ergo, they have to debase the dollar by around 50% (from 96% debased since 1913 to 94%) and they're about half way there. So far without having inflation go nuts or everything imploding. Inflation has been helped by global competition via the internet AND 20% real unemployment eliminated any wage pressure and the formula they use to calculate the CPI. Anyway, we're about halfway thru this little gambit and so far they've been pulling it off, albeit with no help from Washington or the middle east. So, as bullion investors, we have to handicap their chances of success - or better yet - of failure. Being rational, we have to assign some probability to the chances of financial meltdown. The doomsday scenario is possible - even if only 5-10%. You're welcome to assign your own number. The issue then becomes how to insulate ourselves to a degree that covers a 5-10% chance of dollar collapse. Many of us feel that having some bullion on hand is a good insulator. My grandkids have bed buddies. My wee stash of pm's is my bed buddy. and so it goes, peace, rono[/QUOTE]
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