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Silver Will Not Top $20 Again Homies
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<p>[QUOTE="mikem2000, post: 1910297, member: 30574"]Yes Chris, I do disagree with you, but not because of valuation. I believe it will drift lower because markets almost always seem to over shoot. I think it would be a rare occasion for that pendulum to swing and stop exactly at fair value, so I see the pendulum swinging too far.</p><p><br /></p><p>Now for entry points into the market, I also think fair value is way too high for silver for two reasons. The first reason is the premium is a bear to overcome so it is best ot wait for cheap (under fair value) silver to more easily overcome this. The second reason is with a commodity, there is no growth or interest, so since the upside potential is much less to begin with, enrty points need to be more carefully chosen. While I would gladly buy an equity at fair value, not so much for a commodity.</p><p><br /></p><p>Now in summary I also think that two reasons I outlined are also followed by a lot of bigger money type investors, which causes reluctance for these folks to get into silver too early, which creates even more opportunity for the overshoot I mentioned in the beginning. IMHO Patience is the key.</p><p><br /></p><p>Entry point 14 USD.... Be there or be Be Square...</p><p><br /></p><p>Also, if I am wrong, unlike our stacker friends, I will the first to trot out my old post and suck it up like a man.</p><p><br /></p><p>Cheers,</p><p>Mike[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="mikem2000, post: 1910297, member: 30574"]Yes Chris, I do disagree with you, but not because of valuation. I believe it will drift lower because markets almost always seem to over shoot. I think it would be a rare occasion for that pendulum to swing and stop exactly at fair value, so I see the pendulum swinging too far. Now for entry points into the market, I also think fair value is way too high for silver for two reasons. The first reason is the premium is a bear to overcome so it is best ot wait for cheap (under fair value) silver to more easily overcome this. The second reason is with a commodity, there is no growth or interest, so since the upside potential is much less to begin with, enrty points need to be more carefully chosen. While I would gladly buy an equity at fair value, not so much for a commodity. Now in summary I also think that two reasons I outlined are also followed by a lot of bigger money type investors, which causes reluctance for these folks to get into silver too early, which creates even more opportunity for the overshoot I mentioned in the beginning. IMHO Patience is the key. Entry point 14 USD.... Be there or be Be Square... Also, if I am wrong, unlike our stacker friends, I will the first to trot out my old post and suck it up like a man. Cheers, Mike[/QUOTE]
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