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<p>[QUOTE="doug444, post: 1926939, member: 38849"]"...If the banking system fails 90% of the money supply disappears..."</p><p><br /></p><p>This is completely wrong. The general definition of money supply is currency plus demand deposits in financial institutions. First of all, currency is not going to disappear. During a bank run, it may move from the bank into the hands of the depositors, at least till the cash runs out, but it is still in the economy. Demand deposits are a little more complicated. In theory, deposits are insured by the FDIC up to a certain dollar amount, currently $250,000., although there are ways around this limit. The coverage ratio is currently LESS than ten percent. </p><p><br /></p><p>If and when the FDIC runs out of money and/or NOA, the government itself creates money out of thin air (like it has already created hundreds of billions) to fund the FDIC. <u><b>Maybe.</b></u> In the Cyprus "bail-in," depositors and shareholders were given no choice but to share part of the loss. If you think it can't happen here, you're wrong. Note: if you have gold or silver hidden in your basement, there's no "counterparty risk," provided you keep quiet about your holdings. In any case, the money-creation (actually a credit expansion) dumps billions if not trillions into the economy, and hyperinflation becomes all the more likely. A systemic bank failure also creates massive unemployment, but I'll save that for another time. It would be the end of our country as we know it. This is why the Federal Reserve has no choice but to keep buying Treasury securities. This strategy, of course, cannot go on forever, either. If you don't think we're hopelessly screwed in the long run, you're very naive.</p><p><br /></p><p>The "solution" most often kicked around is for the Federal Government to simply repudiate a substantial portion of its debt, but that's another post too. Which would you rather have when the crunch comes, your net worth in incomprehensible bookkeeping entries, and paper money illustrating dead Presidents, or in precious metals? Diversify. Protect yourself. Educate yourself.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="doug444, post: 1926939, member: 38849"]"...If the banking system fails 90% of the money supply disappears..." This is completely wrong. The general definition of money supply is currency plus demand deposits in financial institutions. First of all, currency is not going to disappear. During a bank run, it may move from the bank into the hands of the depositors, at least till the cash runs out, but it is still in the economy. Demand deposits are a little more complicated. In theory, deposits are insured by the FDIC up to a certain dollar amount, currently $250,000., although there are ways around this limit. The coverage ratio is currently LESS than ten percent. If and when the FDIC runs out of money and/or NOA, the government itself creates money out of thin air (like it has already created hundreds of billions) to fund the FDIC. [U][B]Maybe.[/B][/U] In the Cyprus "bail-in," depositors and shareholders were given no choice but to share part of the loss. If you think it can't happen here, you're wrong. Note: if you have gold or silver hidden in your basement, there's no "counterparty risk," provided you keep quiet about your holdings. In any case, the money-creation (actually a credit expansion) dumps billions if not trillions into the economy, and hyperinflation becomes all the more likely. A systemic bank failure also creates massive unemployment, but I'll save that for another time. It would be the end of our country as we know it. This is why the Federal Reserve has no choice but to keep buying Treasury securities. This strategy, of course, cannot go on forever, either. If you don't think we're hopelessly screwed in the long run, you're very naive. The "solution" most often kicked around is for the Federal Government to simply repudiate a substantial portion of its debt, but that's another post too. Which would you rather have when the crunch comes, your net worth in incomprehensible bookkeeping entries, and paper money illustrating dead Presidents, or in precious metals? Diversify. Protect yourself. Educate yourself.[/QUOTE]
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