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<p>[QUOTE="Rono, post: 1651238, member: 6492"]Howdy folks,</p><p><br /></p><p>I suspect that Juan is correct about the GSR establishing a new equilibrium much higher than the historic 15-20 to 1 range. Hey, stuff changes and we need to also. Another somewhat related change in metrics is with the Gold/XAU ratio. This measures the POG divided by the XAU which is a set market basket of mining stocks similar to the DOW or other stock indice. Historically numbers higher than 5 represented a signal to buy stocks relative to bullion while a number below 5 was a signal to buy bullion relative to the miners. Well, it's at 11.62 right now and has run in the high single digits for this entire bull market. Anyone heeding it's signal since 2002 has gotten hammered as this number continues to get worse. </p><p><br /></p><p>My thinking is that it's due to the bullion ETFs. Before they arrived upon the scene average investors pretty much had to buy mining stocks to play this arena with securities. There was no friendly way for the Joe 6 pack to invest in pm's unless he bought physical bullion . . . and many folks don't want to do this. </p><p><br /></p><p>Anyway, this is another historic metric used by investors far and wide and these days, you better adjust how you read it. What the equilibrium level is these days? Geez, WTF knows?</p><p><br /></p><p>peace,</p><p><br /></p><p>rono[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Rono, post: 1651238, member: 6492"]Howdy folks, I suspect that Juan is correct about the GSR establishing a new equilibrium much higher than the historic 15-20 to 1 range. Hey, stuff changes and we need to also. Another somewhat related change in metrics is with the Gold/XAU ratio. This measures the POG divided by the XAU which is a set market basket of mining stocks similar to the DOW or other stock indice. Historically numbers higher than 5 represented a signal to buy stocks relative to bullion while a number below 5 was a signal to buy bullion relative to the miners. Well, it's at 11.62 right now and has run in the high single digits for this entire bull market. Anyone heeding it's signal since 2002 has gotten hammered as this number continues to get worse. My thinking is that it's due to the bullion ETFs. Before they arrived upon the scene average investors pretty much had to buy mining stocks to play this arena with securities. There was no friendly way for the Joe 6 pack to invest in pm's unless he bought physical bullion . . . and many folks don't want to do this. Anyway, this is another historic metric used by investors far and wide and these days, you better adjust how you read it. What the equilibrium level is these days? Geez, WTF knows? peace, rono[/QUOTE]
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