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<p>[QUOTE="passantgardant, post: 1138174, member: 30033"]<b>There are methods of calculating that...</b></p><p><br /></p><p>Everyone is talking about risk vs benefit, 1/1000 probabilities, 94% devaluations, etc.,... but there are no hard numbers here (or anywhere on the internet that I can find) which actually calculate a reasonable dollar value of gold based on such assumptions. It's all just pie in the sky. Until now! I've created an online calculator which takes your assumptions and translates them into a current fair value for gold. </p><p><br /></p><p><a href="http://passantgardant.com/gold-value-calculator" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://passantgardant.com/gold-value-calculator" rel="nofollow">http://passantgardant.com/gold-value-calculator</a></p><p><br /></p><p>Just enter your estimated probability of various inflation rates, and this calculator will give you a fair value for gold as insurance against inflation using actuarial methods. <i>It's the same way your home or car insurance company calculates your premium!</i> This calculator includes the ability to specify your own opportunity costs from holding gold instead of an interest-paying alternative. This way you can decide for yourself if gold should be a part of your inflation-hedging portfolio.</p><p><br /></p><p>Please share the link with any gold critics or skeptics among your family and friends, since putting hard numbers to it may finally sway them to take out an insurance policy of gold (or silver), whether physical bullion, ETFs, or mining stocks, to hedge their own assessment of inflation risks.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="passantgardant, post: 1138174, member: 30033"][b]There are methods of calculating that...[/b] Everyone is talking about risk vs benefit, 1/1000 probabilities, 94% devaluations, etc.,... but there are no hard numbers here (or anywhere on the internet that I can find) which actually calculate a reasonable dollar value of gold based on such assumptions. It's all just pie in the sky. Until now! I've created an online calculator which takes your assumptions and translates them into a current fair value for gold. [url]http://passantgardant.com/gold-value-calculator[/url] Just enter your estimated probability of various inflation rates, and this calculator will give you a fair value for gold as insurance against inflation using actuarial methods. [I]It's the same way your home or car insurance company calculates your premium![/I] This calculator includes the ability to specify your own opportunity costs from holding gold instead of an interest-paying alternative. This way you can decide for yourself if gold should be a part of your inflation-hedging portfolio. Please share the link with any gold critics or skeptics among your family and friends, since putting hard numbers to it may finally sway them to take out an insurance policy of gold (or silver), whether physical bullion, ETFs, or mining stocks, to hedge their own assessment of inflation risks.[/QUOTE]
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