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<p>[QUOTE="Clawcoins, post: 3362976, member: 77814"]You're right. But stop kicking yourself and start writing down stuff that you see.</p><p><br /></p><p>For instance,</p><p>1 - those ASE Congrats were what I call a "stupid spike" where due to an emotional drive, low supply, makes the price spike to "stupid" heights. That's a "cash out NOW" scenario.</p><p><br /></p><p>Gasoline, as an example, prices spike for a few reasons both real and unreal:</p><p>1 - a distribution center or refining location has to shut down. Local, or regional or more prices can spike quite quickly. Of course, Irrelevant if there are enough stored supplies to cover any theoretical shortfalls.</p><p>2 - a potential storm in the gulf of mexico that could force oil platforms to shut down. Price spike even if the storm is far away, and ends up not even going close to the Gulf. A perceived threat in this case.</p><p>3 - global regional issues, such as say a problem in the middle east which could technically disrupt some global oil shipments can cause an immediate gasoline price spike.</p><p><br /></p><p>I review some stock info in a previous post, a couple pages back.</p><p><br /></p><p>now PMs are very similar though different.</p><p>For instance back in 2017 there was a threat of Mexico being blockaded tariff-wise. Mexico is the US's main supplier of mined silver. Thus silver spiked the equivalent potential tariff price. I don't believe it affected Gold much if at all.</p><p><br /></p><p>I had some equations for PMs, several correlated and uncorrelated algorthyms. crazy.</p><p><br /></p><p>Each day if you list out on a spreadsheet 3 things that affected +/- silver, or gold, a particular stock, the stock market itself, or anything else where price fluctuates, over time you can start seeing patterns on your spreadsheet. certain items can be regulars, which give a large, consistent price impact. others float in and out of the list with smaller impacts, or float in and out and have a large impact.</p><p><br /></p><p>you can create your own list of impacts. you'll learn a lot, and you'll learn to be more unbiased as your stack up impact items.</p><p><br /></p><p>So when prices rise, you can when it starts falling, know when to sell when you get 3 large impact items.</p><p>So if silver maxxes out at 50, you can feel good to sell slightly on the backside at 45-48. Or even sell before it maxxes out ... and if you're lucky at the very top when you get 3 large impact SELL items.</p><p><br /></p><p>Plus, what are you going to do if you sell early. be glad that you profited. You can't worry by doing something too soon or too late. Don't let "emotions" control you NOT selling when your impact items say sell or buy. As once it is sold or bought, then it's sold or bought .. what 'cha gonna do?</p><p><br /></p><p>I used to day trade (not a real day trader per IRS rules). You buy/sell in minutes, or hours or days on targeted price fluctuations. You learn to see impact items and react to them to cash out quickly or buy in quickly .. or wait. Buy/sell & learn, and move on ...[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Clawcoins, post: 3362976, member: 77814"]You're right. But stop kicking yourself and start writing down stuff that you see. For instance, 1 - those ASE Congrats were what I call a "stupid spike" where due to an emotional drive, low supply, makes the price spike to "stupid" heights. That's a "cash out NOW" scenario. Gasoline, as an example, prices spike for a few reasons both real and unreal: 1 - a distribution center or refining location has to shut down. Local, or regional or more prices can spike quite quickly. Of course, Irrelevant if there are enough stored supplies to cover any theoretical shortfalls. 2 - a potential storm in the gulf of mexico that could force oil platforms to shut down. Price spike even if the storm is far away, and ends up not even going close to the Gulf. A perceived threat in this case. 3 - global regional issues, such as say a problem in the middle east which could technically disrupt some global oil shipments can cause an immediate gasoline price spike. I review some stock info in a previous post, a couple pages back. now PMs are very similar though different. For instance back in 2017 there was a threat of Mexico being blockaded tariff-wise. Mexico is the US's main supplier of mined silver. Thus silver spiked the equivalent potential tariff price. I don't believe it affected Gold much if at all. I had some equations for PMs, several correlated and uncorrelated algorthyms. crazy. Each day if you list out on a spreadsheet 3 things that affected +/- silver, or gold, a particular stock, the stock market itself, or anything else where price fluctuates, over time you can start seeing patterns on your spreadsheet. certain items can be regulars, which give a large, consistent price impact. others float in and out of the list with smaller impacts, or float in and out and have a large impact. you can create your own list of impacts. you'll learn a lot, and you'll learn to be more unbiased as your stack up impact items. So when prices rise, you can when it starts falling, know when to sell when you get 3 large impact items. So if silver maxxes out at 50, you can feel good to sell slightly on the backside at 45-48. Or even sell before it maxxes out ... and if you're lucky at the very top when you get 3 large impact SELL items. Plus, what are you going to do if you sell early. be glad that you profited. You can't worry by doing something too soon or too late. Don't let "emotions" control you NOT selling when your impact items say sell or buy. As once it is sold or bought, then it's sold or bought .. what 'cha gonna do? I used to day trade (not a real day trader per IRS rules). You buy/sell in minutes, or hours or days on targeted price fluctuations. You learn to see impact items and react to them to cash out quickly or buy in quickly .. or wait. Buy/sell & learn, and move on ...[/QUOTE]
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