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<p>[QUOTE="desertgem, post: 2633926, member: 15199"]As a different opinion, the time when manipulation is occurring, you will see drastic changes in the margin accounts of individuals who are playing with options/futures. Most of these are online day traders. When a trend up or down starts, it usually plays out, but when a very large number of Joe common stackers think, (I want to get rich and am being left behind) starts believing the "Back up the truck" slogans and buys retail, then the commodity houses who make their money off of the paper trades starts getting worried about the huge number of contracts for buying and few to sell. So they increase margins to equalize, if it escalates, they increase, increase, and most of the daytraders don't have the liquidity so they drop their contracts, leaving the 1%. Mean while Ag may hit 30 and more (stackers/get rich quick) jump in and the dealers have to increase their premiums, and the cycle continues, until the Daytraders/paper traders fold, and the stackers/bullion traders are left at the peak, and things crash. When commodity contract margins suddenly change, stackers should be aware of it, and get in quick and get out even quicker to make some profit. But again most do not sell, preferring to hang on another 20 years before it happens again. IMO Jim[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="desertgem, post: 2633926, member: 15199"]As a different opinion, the time when manipulation is occurring, you will see drastic changes in the margin accounts of individuals who are playing with options/futures. Most of these are online day traders. When a trend up or down starts, it usually plays out, but when a very large number of Joe common stackers think, (I want to get rich and am being left behind) starts believing the "Back up the truck" slogans and buys retail, then the commodity houses who make their money off of the paper trades starts getting worried about the huge number of contracts for buying and few to sell. So they increase margins to equalize, if it escalates, they increase, increase, and most of the daytraders don't have the liquidity so they drop their contracts, leaving the 1%. Mean while Ag may hit 30 and more (stackers/get rich quick) jump in and the dealers have to increase their premiums, and the cycle continues, until the Daytraders/paper traders fold, and the stackers/bullion traders are left at the peak, and things crash. When commodity contract margins suddenly change, stackers should be aware of it, and get in quick and get out even quicker to make some profit. But again most do not sell, preferring to hang on another 20 years before it happens again. IMO Jim[/QUOTE]
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