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<p>[QUOTE="Brett_in_Sacto, post: 2398659, member: 71510"]I'm expecting a year long slow growth trend to the upside with lots of volatility. The trend has legs to put us between 17 and 18 by this time next year.</p><p><br /></p><p>Yes, I'm speculating, but I'm making an educated guess based on trends and current economic situation - and the fact that we have seen high inflation that people just don't realize yet.</p><p><br /></p><p>I said it last summer, just because oil is cheap doesn't mean we aren't seeing inflation. The cost of goods and services has risen dramatically in the last 3 years due to labor and tax increases. Economists will look at traditional bellwethers and say it ain't so.</p><p><br /></p><p>I know at restaurants and stores, I've seen a price increase in everything - along with extra taxes and fees. Gas is cheap, and that's offsetting the cost - but it's only temporary.</p><p><br /></p><p>I'm quite sure after the elections, someone will start reporting it on the news and correlate price increases across the board with inflation. <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie1" alt=":)" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" />[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Brett_in_Sacto, post: 2398659, member: 71510"]I'm expecting a year long slow growth trend to the upside with lots of volatility. The trend has legs to put us between 17 and 18 by this time next year. Yes, I'm speculating, but I'm making an educated guess based on trends and current economic situation - and the fact that we have seen high inflation that people just don't realize yet. I said it last summer, just because oil is cheap doesn't mean we aren't seeing inflation. The cost of goods and services has risen dramatically in the last 3 years due to labor and tax increases. Economists will look at traditional bellwethers and say it ain't so. I know at restaurants and stores, I've seen a price increase in everything - along with extra taxes and fees. Gas is cheap, and that's offsetting the cost - but it's only temporary. I'm quite sure after the elections, someone will start reporting it on the news and correlate price increases across the board with inflation. :)[/QUOTE]
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