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<p>[QUOTE="yakpoo, post: 819154, member: 18157"]It sounds like we're in agreement over the causes of stagflation in the 70's. However, I seem to recall a guy named <b>Paul Volker</b> that blew the top off the Prime/Fed Funds rates (way in excess to anything happening naturely in the credit markets) to sucessfully get inflation under control. </p><p> </p><p>True, he could have not done that, but we might not have broken the back of stagflation, either. Nixon's Wage/Price controls weren't much help and Gerry Ford's "With Inflation Now" (WIN) buttons didn't help much, either.</p><p> </p><p>I was in the Air Force at the time and the job environment felt a lot like it does today...I was glad to have a job! Here's a snippet I found in <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Volcker" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Volcker" rel="nofollow">Wikipedia</a>...</p><p> </p><p><img src="http://i664.photobucket.com/albums/vv10/Yakpoo/test/test1/au75-pres.png" class="bbCodeImage wysiwygImage" alt="" unselectable="on" /></p><p> </p><p>This KITCO chart shows gold prices from 1975 to present. The chart of the late '70s has a similar trajectory to the chart of today. As you can see, once Paul Volker got busy working his magic ('81-'82), inflation was brought under control and gold prices CRASHED!</p><p> </p><p>I don't see the Obama administration taking such draconian measures today, although...they <b>ARE</b> bringing back Paul Volker (<b><span style="color: red">watch out!!!</span></b>). The Dems #1 goal is to get reelected in 2010 and "Jobs" are the #1 priority.</p><p> </p><p>All I'm saying is that there's a "chance" the markets might worry about Paul Volker-esc rate hikes after the election and PM's could sell off heading into the 2010 mid-term elections. It really doesn't matter what actually happens...only what the markets think "might" happen.</p><p> </p><p>EDIT: I forgot about the large PM owners selling futures contracts. :thumb:</p><p>...and I ain't selling my little ladies, either![/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="yakpoo, post: 819154, member: 18157"]It sounds like we're in agreement over the causes of stagflation in the 70's. However, I seem to recall a guy named [B]Paul Volker[/B] that blew the top off the Prime/Fed Funds rates (way in excess to anything happening naturely in the credit markets) to sucessfully get inflation under control. True, he could have not done that, but we might not have broken the back of stagflation, either. Nixon's Wage/Price controls weren't much help and Gerry Ford's "With Inflation Now" (WIN) buttons didn't help much, either. I was in the Air Force at the time and the job environment felt a lot like it does today...I was glad to have a job! Here's a snippet I found in [URL="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Volcker"]Wikipedia[/URL]... [IMG]http://i664.photobucket.com/albums/vv10/Yakpoo/test/test1/au75-pres.png[/IMG] This KITCO chart shows gold prices from 1975 to present. The chart of the late '70s has a similar trajectory to the chart of today. As you can see, once Paul Volker got busy working his magic ('81-'82), inflation was brought under control and gold prices CRASHED! I don't see the Obama administration taking such draconian measures today, although...they [B]ARE[/B] bringing back Paul Volker ([B][COLOR=red]watch out!!![/COLOR][/B]). The Dems #1 goal is to get reelected in 2010 and "Jobs" are the #1 priority. All I'm saying is that there's a "chance" the markets might worry about Paul Volker-esc rate hikes after the election and PM's could sell off heading into the 2010 mid-term elections. It really doesn't matter what actually happens...only what the markets think "might" happen. EDIT: I forgot about the large PM owners selling futures contracts. :thumb: ...and I ain't selling my little ladies, either![/QUOTE]
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