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<p>[QUOTE="V. Kurt Bellman, post: 2286838, member: 71723"]I agree, but with interest rates likely to head upward, in order to not take a whipping on the bond, you'll need to hold till maturity. Rising interest rates hurt both metals and bond prices. But if you hold to maturity, it gets back to par. if you can wait until interest rates go up some, you can get most of the interest and capital gains on top. This is why SLACKACTION needs to be careful moving into a bond fund. As interest rates rise, the principal amounts in a bond fund could get ugly. There are some funds who try to keep their coupon rates close to current yields, to minimize the capital losses.</p><p><br /></p><p>So while I agree silver is the likely winner on December 3, 2035, I think that during a large portion of the interim, the bond wins. Still I see lots more down for both before the up.</p><p><br /></p><p>This is a tough market. Metals, stocks, bonds, and real estate might all be overpriced at the same time. I recently heard one guy say, "Something has to go up!" Yeah, not really. Best shot is to take an equity position in "the next big idea."[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="V. Kurt Bellman, post: 2286838, member: 71723"]I agree, but with interest rates likely to head upward, in order to not take a whipping on the bond, you'll need to hold till maturity. Rising interest rates hurt both metals and bond prices. But if you hold to maturity, it gets back to par. if you can wait until interest rates go up some, you can get most of the interest and capital gains on top. This is why SLACKACTION needs to be careful moving into a bond fund. As interest rates rise, the principal amounts in a bond fund could get ugly. There are some funds who try to keep their coupon rates close to current yields, to minimize the capital losses. So while I agree silver is the likely winner on December 3, 2035, I think that during a large portion of the interim, the bond wins. Still I see lots more down for both before the up. This is a tough market. Metals, stocks, bonds, and real estate might all be overpriced at the same time. I recently heard one guy say, "Something has to go up!" Yeah, not really. Best shot is to take an equity position in "the next big idea."[/QUOTE]
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