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<p>[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 710411, member: 3011"]Let's think about this, assuming it is true. It is unlikely that any basket of currencies will exclude the US dollar. The Chinese yuan is too small to be a major part of a basket, and the Gulf currency doesn't even exist yet and will no doubt be another fiat currency. So the dollar will still be an important part of the reserve currency basket. If gold is a component, it will have to be denominated in some currency [you can't add ounces and currencies in any meaningful way], and that currency will effectively be the new reserve currency. And if the dollars come back to the US, why would that necessarily be bad? The US Treasuries are non-callable, so the holders will have to sell them to effectively "buy" US dollars to spend. This will depress bond prices, raise interest rates and strengthen the dollar. Then the dollars will be spent on goods and services provided by the US, raising asset prices, creating a favorable balance of payments, creating jobs and producing income for Americans. I'm not saying any of this will happen -- their view or mine. I only want to point out that a lot of what passes for analysis is badly thought out and slanted to produce fear.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 710411, member: 3011"]Let's think about this, assuming it is true. It is unlikely that any basket of currencies will exclude the US dollar. The Chinese yuan is too small to be a major part of a basket, and the Gulf currency doesn't even exist yet and will no doubt be another fiat currency. So the dollar will still be an important part of the reserve currency basket. If gold is a component, it will have to be denominated in some currency [you can't add ounces and currencies in any meaningful way], and that currency will effectively be the new reserve currency. And if the dollars come back to the US, why would that necessarily be bad? The US Treasuries are non-callable, so the holders will have to sell them to effectively "buy" US dollars to spend. This will depress bond prices, raise interest rates and strengthen the dollar. Then the dollars will be spent on goods and services provided by the US, raising asset prices, creating a favorable balance of payments, creating jobs and producing income for Americans. I'm not saying any of this will happen -- their view or mine. I only want to point out that a lot of what passes for analysis is badly thought out and slanted to produce fear.[/QUOTE]
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