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<p>[QUOTE="InfleXion, post: 1258282, member: 29012"]I think we actually agree to a point. I was merely making the distinction between the media itself and the information it is reporting. I did say that the underlying reasons and actions behind the news could definitely change the trend, however whether or not it makes the news is irrelevant to the trend and is where the ping pong effect comes in that I mentioned. That is based on emotion more than anything. So I'm not saying that information can't change a trend, but rather that the dissemination of the information (or lack thereof) is much less important than the information itself. </p><p><br /></p><p>As far as what I see setting the trend in a market, it's a complicated hodgepodge of things since markets are influenced by everybody, but in a word I would say fundamentals. However we don't need to know why the trend is what it is to see that a trend is there. Of course knowing the fundamentals behind the trend is a requirement for me personally to feel comfortable with getting on board. </p><p><br /></p><p>I am aware that graphs are not indicative of future performance, but what they are indicative of is market sentiment which can be used as a basis for inferring what future performance will be under the current circumstances. As circumstances change, so too does the sentiment, and so too must the outlook. I was just offering my interpretation of where things are heading on the current course, and I actually expect monetary easing cause my expectations to be exceeded, but that hasn't been confirmed yet.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="InfleXion, post: 1258282, member: 29012"]I think we actually agree to a point. I was merely making the distinction between the media itself and the information it is reporting. I did say that the underlying reasons and actions behind the news could definitely change the trend, however whether or not it makes the news is irrelevant to the trend and is where the ping pong effect comes in that I mentioned. That is based on emotion more than anything. So I'm not saying that information can't change a trend, but rather that the dissemination of the information (or lack thereof) is much less important than the information itself. As far as what I see setting the trend in a market, it's a complicated hodgepodge of things since markets are influenced by everybody, but in a word I would say fundamentals. However we don't need to know why the trend is what it is to see that a trend is there. Of course knowing the fundamentals behind the trend is a requirement for me personally to feel comfortable with getting on board. I am aware that graphs are not indicative of future performance, but what they are indicative of is market sentiment which can be used as a basis for inferring what future performance will be under the current circumstances. As circumstances change, so too does the sentiment, and so too must the outlook. I was just offering my interpretation of where things are heading on the current course, and I actually expect monetary easing cause my expectations to be exceeded, but that hasn't been confirmed yet.[/QUOTE]
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