Discussion in 'Bullion Investing' started by Joe2007, Feb 21, 2020.
80,873 (92%) -Recovered / Discharged
7,500 (8%) -Deaths
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I read that the death rate in Italy has 0% mortality for those 0-29 years old. Of those that died, I wonder how many were over 65? I know we skew older on this board, but we have to face that it is the younger generation that is critical for economic growth, not the over 65 set.
This is why I believe this is overblown. If it risked wiping out schools I would be MUCH more alarmed. If nursing homes are the most at risk, not to be unkind or grieve their loss, but ECONOMICALLY it is not nearly as bad. My father is about as high of a risk as possible, and of course personally I am concerned for him, but I simply do not think the economy will collapse over it. Right now it is the fear associated with it that is causing the most damage.
Is that right? I think that is only counting severe cases, the ones hospitalized. I bet if you report on flu cases that were hospitalized you would get the same results.
Just pulling from this site:
Yea same here. I don't get why the eggs are selling out also. They're perishable. I can understand the TP a little cause of fear of supply chain disruption and not wanting to expose oneself to crowd at store when needing to resupply, but eggs?
Eggs are a great (and versatile and tasty) protein source, they keep for a surprisingly long time (weeks) in a cold refrigerator, and they've gotten ridiculously cheap over the last year or two.
I hope you're right, but that cohort's suffering could easily overwhelm our health care system (as we're seeing in Italy). The more we can delay and spread out the disease's peak, the better our chance of coping -- at least, that's what I'm hearing from medical professionals.
Right now it's the response in preparation that's causing the most damage. We all focus on toilet-paper follies, but shutting down schools and public gatherings... well, I guess it's always been true that one person's "fear" is another person's "reasonable caution".
If I see a pack of snarling dogs running toward me, I'm going to run for the nearest door I can shut on them. It doesn't matter whether I'm running because I'm scared, or because I'm prudent; it matters that I run fast enough to get inside.
As best I can tell from some quick research, the 1968 H3N2 flu was different in these important ways:
Transmissibility was lower.
Lethality was lower (less than 0.5%).
There was some cross-resistance from related previous flu strains.
I imagine we were also a bit less mobile 50 years ago, although I'm not sure how much difference that makes. I also see an observation that schools went on Christmas break right about the time it really got going.
People live longer in a normal environment without a pandemic because of those medications, but it makes them much more susceptible without a vaccine. Flu vaccines are usually yearly, but the death rate is usually dominated by the very young and the very old. The US had not suffered a coronavirus epidemic, there were only 8 US cases of SARS and 2 US cases of MERS, so there is little or no residual resistancy for C-19
What does any of that have to with:
"I remember people talking about the Hong Kong flu when I was a kid. I don't remember anyone going Full Metal Plate about it."
why there might not have been as many people/companies/nations "going Full Metal Plate about it" that time around.
The mint is sold out of ASE's.
Great, now the mint has the 'formula' to sell out their POS annual offerings.
And I'm sure the 140,000 is reaching 150K.
Looks like the people are ripe for marshall law.
Note that these are logarithmic scales, and the curves are still turning upward. The rate of increase is increasing.
There's a very real chance we could reach the million-infected milestone by the end of the month. We'll certainly pass 10,000 dead by the end of this week.
I'm having a hard time finding up-to-the-minute data for seasonal flu mortality, but it looks like COVID-19 is already killing more people per day than the seasonal flu -- and it's accelerating, rapidly.
And the temperature in both were in the 80-90 degrees, so that doesn't encourage faith this will stop here in summer. Jim
That's not even 4%. Did the news whores happen to mention how many of them were "Knocking on Heavens Door" before they got infected?
Facts sometimes dont change peoples beliefs
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