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<p>[QUOTE="medoraman, post: 1216441, member: 26302"]That's a fair prediction. Remember that if nothing else happens commodities should always go up for inflation, that is why I have never said $100, or $1000 silver is impossible, its just a matter of when. Assuming inflation, I would say your prediction would be correct barring market changes. $50 silver WILL happen, guaranteed, but if you factor in the time value of money would it be a gain? That is the million dollar question. Silver at $35 is a huge gain over 1990-2000 levels, but would be a very small profit over 1960 or 1930 levels.</p><p><br /></p><p>So many small investors ignore this. Time is also a huge modifier of gains. Worst yet, you have to pay capitol gains taxes on that gain, further eroding profits. This is why commodities have a place in portfolio, but long term relying solely on them can be dangerous to your financial health. Short term? Have fun and play with money you can afford to lose, just like any short term speculation dollars.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="medoraman, post: 1216441, member: 26302"]That's a fair prediction. Remember that if nothing else happens commodities should always go up for inflation, that is why I have never said $100, or $1000 silver is impossible, its just a matter of when. Assuming inflation, I would say your prediction would be correct barring market changes. $50 silver WILL happen, guaranteed, but if you factor in the time value of money would it be a gain? That is the million dollar question. Silver at $35 is a huge gain over 1990-2000 levels, but would be a very small profit over 1960 or 1930 levels. So many small investors ignore this. Time is also a huge modifier of gains. Worst yet, you have to pay capitol gains taxes on that gain, further eroding profits. This is why commodities have a place in portfolio, but long term relying solely on them can be dangerous to your financial health. Short term? Have fun and play with money you can afford to lose, just like any short term speculation dollars.[/QUOTE]
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