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<p>[QUOTE="Juan Blanco, post: 1573560, member: 41665"]Very interesting thesis and although I don't agree that will/must happen, it's another Coin-Risk to duly note. I suppose the demographics must change - presumption declared - or the coin business largely withers & dies within a decade. An explosion of counterfeits couldn't help demand, IMO.</p><p><br /></p><p>But - to argue the contrary opinion - I think <i>the old-school hype/fraud should increasingly fail</i> as 'low-information' consumers (poorer whimsy collectors) are replaced with 'high information' consumers (more affluent savvy investors) and better/increasing regulation.</p><p><br /></p><p>Over the next few decades, I foresee US (quasi-numismatic?) coin premiums falling for different reasons, but decreasing demand can take various forms and rationales, YES. Retail bullion demand has seen a sharp increase in the last decade, has it not?[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Juan Blanco, post: 1573560, member: 41665"]Very interesting thesis and although I don't agree that will/must happen, it's another Coin-Risk to duly note. I suppose the demographics must change - presumption declared - or the coin business largely withers & dies within a decade. An explosion of counterfeits couldn't help demand, IMO. But - to argue the contrary opinion - I think [I]the old-school hype/fraud should increasingly fail[/I] as 'low-information' consumers (poorer whimsy collectors) are replaced with 'high information' consumers (more affluent savvy investors) and better/increasing regulation. Over the next few decades, I foresee US (quasi-numismatic?) coin premiums falling for different reasons, but decreasing demand can take various forms and rationales, YES. Retail bullion demand has seen a sharp increase in the last decade, has it not?[/QUOTE]
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Ponderings of supply and extraction. Gold vs. Silver
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