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Panic on Silver or Gold in 2013? Collapse of the U.S. Dollar?
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<p>[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 1443263, member: 3011"]What you are missing is the possibility of default, shich would be deflationary. Of course, they won't call it default. But eventually the debt will be restructured. For example, the Treasury could force the conversion of all bonds held by the Federal Reserve into non-interest bearing perpetual bonds. Nobody would notice or care any more than they cared when the Fed stuffed their balance sheet with worthless assets purchased from banks. Or they could declare that all short term debt is now 100 year debt without changing the coupon rate. Or the government could force all employees to use 5% of their paycheck to buy bonds on some unfavorable terms, or force conversion of 401k and IRA funds into Treasuries. Right now all of these options seem far fetched, but won't be in a real crisis.</p><p><br /></p><p>It is possible that all of the debt will be monitized, but my guess is that a shadow default will be the preferred course of action once there are no more financing alternatives.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 1443263, member: 3011"]What you are missing is the possibility of default, shich would be deflationary. Of course, they won't call it default. But eventually the debt will be restructured. For example, the Treasury could force the conversion of all bonds held by the Federal Reserve into non-interest bearing perpetual bonds. Nobody would notice or care any more than they cared when the Fed stuffed their balance sheet with worthless assets purchased from banks. Or they could declare that all short term debt is now 100 year debt without changing the coupon rate. Or the government could force all employees to use 5% of their paycheck to buy bonds on some unfavorable terms, or force conversion of 401k and IRA funds into Treasuries. Right now all of these options seem far fetched, but won't be in a real crisis. It is possible that all of the debt will be monitized, but my guess is that a shadow default will be the preferred course of action once there are no more financing alternatives.[/QUOTE]
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