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<p>[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 1439068, member: 3011"]There is a problem with definitions here. Chance is not the same thing as luck. Chance relates to probability. Luck is flipping 10 heads in a row. Is tracking the path of a hurricane pure luck just because there is an element of chance? If so, why not just spin a wheel to determine direction? Great investors replicate their results, sometimes for decades. When you consider that each year may involve numerous buy and sell decisions, it becomes difficult to attribute it all to luck. And Buffett explains why this has nothing to do with the mathematics of coin flipping if you bother to read his explanation. I suspect that Buffett was a highly skilled investor from the time he met Ben Graham to the point when Berkshire Hathaway became so huge that size became a drag on performance. It would take Yogi Berra to discount his performance - "Buffett has made so much money in the market that he isn't a great investor anymore."[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 1439068, member: 3011"]There is a problem with definitions here. Chance is not the same thing as luck. Chance relates to probability. Luck is flipping 10 heads in a row. Is tracking the path of a hurricane pure luck just because there is an element of chance? If so, why not just spin a wheel to determine direction? Great investors replicate their results, sometimes for decades. When you consider that each year may involve numerous buy and sell decisions, it becomes difficult to attribute it all to luck. And Buffett explains why this has nothing to do with the mathematics of coin flipping if you bother to read his explanation. I suspect that Buffett was a highly skilled investor from the time he met Ben Graham to the point when Berkshire Hathaway became so huge that size became a drag on performance. It would take Yogi Berra to discount his performance - "Buffett has made so much money in the market that he isn't a great investor anymore."[/QUOTE]
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