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<p>[QUOTE="Rono, post: 1158524, member: 6492"]Howdy folks,</p><p><br /></p><p>With regard to using the gold/silver ratio as a metric in buy/sell decisions, I'm going to have to side with Lucy. No disrespect to cloud, fatima or bodie and I'll even concede that the GSR is articificial. Cripes it was imposed by Newton when he was over the mint. </p><p><br /></p><p>You folks are missing the point. It doesn't matter if the GSR is true or real or based upon facts - all that matters is that enough people believe that it matters and behave as if it does. It's the behavior of humans that move markets and what they believe to be true is what they base their investment decisions upon.</p><p><br /></p><p>As I pointed out in another thread, it's analogous to the 50 and 200 DMAs and even Santa Claus. The 50 and 200 DMA are used in charting stocks and Technical Analysis and their movements and interactions are the basis of many buy/sell decisions (e.g. the golden cross). Now are 50 and 200 important for any reason? Nope. Only that they are what most people use that do this stuff and thereforem, the fact that they use it give it meaning - they give it life. Same/same with Santa. Not real, but how many believers acting as if he were - or pretending he's real for their kids - and spending a lot of money on the falsehood of Santa Claus.</p><p><br /></p><p>Hey, no doubt that in the long run, the truth will out and everything will revert to the mean but as Keynes said, 'in the long run, we'll all be dead'. Where the action is in in the short run and the divergences from the norm. </p><p><br /></p><p>And there is also no doubt that decisions makers are always seeking the best and most current data upon which to base their decisions. Doesn't mean they'll get it and doesn't mean the information isn't false or misleading. And it doesn't mean they don't get swept up in the given mania of the moment. We've witnessed it so many times - dot.com, real estate, now gold and silver in recent times. Countless examples in history. </p><p><br /></p><p>As an investor, what do I care if folks are being stupid? I'm trying to make money. </p><p><br /></p><p>And this is the nut. With the investing crowd that I've been chatting with online for over 10 years, I've been called all kinds of crazy for investing in pm's. They've sited stats and made arguements proving I was nuts and that gold and silver were terrible investments. Hey, you've heard all their stuff. Since 2002, how many people have you told to buy gold and silver. How many did? How many looked at you like some sort of rabid dog?</p><p><br /></p><p>just some thoughts,</p><p><br /></p><p>peace,</p><p><br /></p><p>rono[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Rono, post: 1158524, member: 6492"]Howdy folks, With regard to using the gold/silver ratio as a metric in buy/sell decisions, I'm going to have to side with Lucy. No disrespect to cloud, fatima or bodie and I'll even concede that the GSR is articificial. Cripes it was imposed by Newton when he was over the mint. You folks are missing the point. It doesn't matter if the GSR is true or real or based upon facts - all that matters is that enough people believe that it matters and behave as if it does. It's the behavior of humans that move markets and what they believe to be true is what they base their investment decisions upon. As I pointed out in another thread, it's analogous to the 50 and 200 DMAs and even Santa Claus. The 50 and 200 DMA are used in charting stocks and Technical Analysis and their movements and interactions are the basis of many buy/sell decisions (e.g. the golden cross). Now are 50 and 200 important for any reason? Nope. Only that they are what most people use that do this stuff and thereforem, the fact that they use it give it meaning - they give it life. Same/same with Santa. Not real, but how many believers acting as if he were - or pretending he's real for their kids - and spending a lot of money on the falsehood of Santa Claus. Hey, no doubt that in the long run, the truth will out and everything will revert to the mean but as Keynes said, 'in the long run, we'll all be dead'. Where the action is in in the short run and the divergences from the norm. And there is also no doubt that decisions makers are always seeking the best and most current data upon which to base their decisions. Doesn't mean they'll get it and doesn't mean the information isn't false or misleading. And it doesn't mean they don't get swept up in the given mania of the moment. We've witnessed it so many times - dot.com, real estate, now gold and silver in recent times. Countless examples in history. As an investor, what do I care if folks are being stupid? I'm trying to make money. And this is the nut. With the investing crowd that I've been chatting with online for over 10 years, I've been called all kinds of crazy for investing in pm's. They've sited stats and made arguements proving I was nuts and that gold and silver were terrible investments. Hey, you've heard all their stuff. Since 2002, how many people have you told to buy gold and silver. How many did? How many looked at you like some sort of rabid dog? just some thoughts, peace, rono[/QUOTE]
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