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<p>[QUOTE="JoeSmith, post: 738874, member: 18021"]Yes, I like gold, "whether or not the market likes it...". You see, I measure everything it terms of gold. In my worldview, there is no market for gold. There's a market for dollars. My emotional attachment to gold is based on 6,000 years of recorded history. When one says "the market likes gold", what that means is the market doesn't like dollars. If the market decides to start liking dollars, I'm happy, because I have some dollars. In my view, my gold hasn't changed. So, if the market decides to start liking dollars, should I buy some dollars with my gold (i.e., "sell" my gold)? I consider that speculating. I believe non-gold bugs have an emotional attachment to dollars, which means they believe our government, our banks, will act in a responsible way to assure continued faith in the dollar. I believe that is irrational.</p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>One of the early examples of using fiat currencies to steal from the people was Henry VIII. He started adding copper to the silver coins he issued. After some time, the image of his nose on the coins became copper colored, earning Hank the nickname "old copper nose". Here's a good article that summarizes it:</p><p><a href="http://history.wisc.edu/sommerville/123/123%20232%20Henry%20&%20edward.htm" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://history.wisc.edu/sommerville/123/123%20232%20Henry%20&%20edward.htm" rel="nofollow">http://history.wisc.edu/sommerville/123/123 232 Henry & edward.htm</a></p><p>This caused inflation, and eventually the debased coins were withdrawn from circulation. The people knew they were being robbed. Today its done more subtly, but still, every dollar that gets "monetized" robs buying power from everyone who has dollars.</p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>Thanks for that good input!</p><p><br /></p><p>Just to make a concrete example, lets suppose a half gallon of milk costs $1 in the US. Then a half gallon of milk in europe would cost 1.5 euros. This means if you take dollars to europe, exchange them for euros, and buy a half gallon of milk, it will cost over 2 dollars. By the same token, a european could come here, trade euros for dollars, and double the spending power. This is an imbalance that is correcting itself. In othe words, it takes twice as much gold to buy a half gallon of milk in europe than it does here. Our dollars are still about twice as valuable as they should be, which is why the price of gold will double, over $2,000.</p><p><br /></p><p>With fiat currencies, you're just trusting the issuing government to "play fair". If a country finds itself deeply in debt, they could just devalue thier currency, and presto, debt cut. Of course the creditor nations could just devalue their own currency in retalliation and self-defense. That's not good for anyone, so they get together and make agreements. When things still go wrong, they get together and make new agreements. Whatever agreements they come to, they have to involve the dollar being worth less compared to other currencies. The US is taking more from other countries than we're giving back, and have been for some time. </p><p><br /></p><p>We're in a dollar bubble, and its just starting to burst. The dollar is over-valued. When bubbles burst, the price of the object of the bubble tumbles, to about a third its bubble high. Then it slowly climbs back, as the bubble bursting takes it too low. If you're a "non-gold bug", you see a gold bubble, which will lose half its value when it bursts, then slowly come. But, if you're a gold bug, you see a dollar bubble, which will burst and slowly come back. In terms of the "price" of gold, this means gold will continue to rise rapidly, then dip slightly and slowly come back. But, if more dollars are printed, in a futile effort to stop the inevitible, that won't happen, the "price" of gold will continue to rise rapidly, then dip slightly, then go into another bubble, and another, until something happens to stop the cycle.</p><p><br /></p><p>I stand by $2,000 in 2010.</p><p><br /></p><p>By the way, 1140 today.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="JoeSmith, post: 738874, member: 18021"]Yes, I like gold, "whether or not the market likes it...". You see, I measure everything it terms of gold. In my worldview, there is no market for gold. There's a market for dollars. My emotional attachment to gold is based on 6,000 years of recorded history. When one says "the market likes gold", what that means is the market doesn't like dollars. If the market decides to start liking dollars, I'm happy, because I have some dollars. In my view, my gold hasn't changed. So, if the market decides to start liking dollars, should I buy some dollars with my gold (i.e., "sell" my gold)? I consider that speculating. I believe non-gold bugs have an emotional attachment to dollars, which means they believe our government, our banks, will act in a responsible way to assure continued faith in the dollar. I believe that is irrational. One of the early examples of using fiat currencies to steal from the people was Henry VIII. He started adding copper to the silver coins he issued. After some time, the image of his nose on the coins became copper colored, earning Hank the nickname "old copper nose". Here's a good article that summarizes it: [url]http://history.wisc.edu/sommerville/123/123%20232%20Henry%20&%20edward.htm[/url] This caused inflation, and eventually the debased coins were withdrawn from circulation. The people knew they were being robbed. Today its done more subtly, but still, every dollar that gets "monetized" robs buying power from everyone who has dollars. Thanks for that good input! Just to make a concrete example, lets suppose a half gallon of milk costs $1 in the US. Then a half gallon of milk in europe would cost 1.5 euros. This means if you take dollars to europe, exchange them for euros, and buy a half gallon of milk, it will cost over 2 dollars. By the same token, a european could come here, trade euros for dollars, and double the spending power. This is an imbalance that is correcting itself. In othe words, it takes twice as much gold to buy a half gallon of milk in europe than it does here. Our dollars are still about twice as valuable as they should be, which is why the price of gold will double, over $2,000. With fiat currencies, you're just trusting the issuing government to "play fair". If a country finds itself deeply in debt, they could just devalue thier currency, and presto, debt cut. Of course the creditor nations could just devalue their own currency in retalliation and self-defense. That's not good for anyone, so they get together and make agreements. When things still go wrong, they get together and make new agreements. Whatever agreements they come to, they have to involve the dollar being worth less compared to other currencies. The US is taking more from other countries than we're giving back, and have been for some time. We're in a dollar bubble, and its just starting to burst. The dollar is over-valued. When bubbles burst, the price of the object of the bubble tumbles, to about a third its bubble high. Then it slowly climbs back, as the bubble bursting takes it too low. If you're a "non-gold bug", you see a gold bubble, which will lose half its value when it bursts, then slowly come. But, if you're a gold bug, you see a dollar bubble, which will burst and slowly come back. In terms of the "price" of gold, this means gold will continue to rise rapidly, then dip slightly and slowly come back. But, if more dollars are printed, in a futile effort to stop the inevitible, that won't happen, the "price" of gold will continue to rise rapidly, then dip slightly, then go into another bubble, and another, until something happens to stop the cycle. I stand by $2,000 in 2010. By the way, 1140 today.[/QUOTE]
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