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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;Cloudsweeper99, post: 771568, member: 3011&quot;]It&#039;s fun to guess.&nbsp; And there is no harm in guessing as long as you don&#039;t fooling yourself into believing that you have some sort of skill at it when your coinflip guess is correct.&nbsp; The reason I say this is that your post sounds very self-assured about something where such assurance does not exist and cannot exist.&nbsp; Noboby knows whether the next $100 move in gold will be up or down.&nbsp; Longer term it is sometimes possible to know whether the probability of gain or loss dominates.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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