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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;AuSgPtHoarder, post: 738941, member: 9817&quot;]I&#039;ve been trying to figure out the money supply side of things.&nbsp; Of the $700B from the bailout/stimulus/whatever, not all of it has been used, and a decent chunk of it has been paid back.&nbsp; AIG is planning on paying back the majority of its $182B in the relatively near future.&nbsp; The question is, as these funds are paid back (with interest), is that money pulled out of circulation, or do we keep recycling it and keeping the money supply high?&nbsp; Are we going to run into inflation with low interest rates, or will it not happen until we see an uptick in rates? </p><p>&nbsp;</p><p>At this point, the gold run-up seems like speculation to me.&nbsp; People are hoarding gold because, depending on how the money supply is handled over the next few years, being priced in at say $1200/oz could be a spectacular bargain.&nbsp; At the same time, its not so high that there&#039;s a terrible downside.&nbsp; I would think - until there&#039;s some evidence of inflation, it can&#039;t go much higher than it is now based on future speculation.&nbsp; Maybe about $1400-1500 at a cap - again, <i>until</i> we run into inflation.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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