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<p>[QUOTE="JoeSmith, post: 749042, member: 18021"]Thank you for a very well written reply. You obviously know a lot about finance. Not that I agree. I believe that past economic crises have been caused, not averted, by fractional reserve banking, fiat money, the federal reserve system and other such tools. </p><p><br /></p><p>"A common objective for all G-20 countries is political stability...no waving of pitchforks in the street please!"</p><p><br /></p><p>That's pretty easy to achieve, all you need is a scape goat. To this day Herbert Hoover is blamed for the great depression more than FDR. It will be easy for other countries to blame the US, they already blame us for everything.</p><p><br /></p><p>"A lot of the stimulus money (a huge number 700+ billion) that was printed is sitting in banks, not in circulation. Unless lending standards are eased and/or banks are willing to take more risks, that money isn't in play."</p><p><br /></p><p>I think the "money supply" is pretty irrelevent as regards supply/demand. Credit card limits should also be included. After all, if I really needed to buy something, I could always charge it if I didn't have the cash on hand.</p><p><br /></p><p>I remember when the Detroit Red Wings professional hockey team signed their first Russian player. The first time his wife went to an American grocery store, she wanted to buy ALL the meat they had. I married a russian woman, so I understand it. In russia, money didn't matter, because there was nothing to buy with it. Prices were cheap, but the stores were empty. Russians saw no value in saving money. During the carter years, my father put an 800 gallon gas tank in the ground, to make sure he's have gas.</p><p><br /></p><p>"...you need inflation at a reasonable rate to grow any economy.".</p><p>There are 2 meanings of "inflation", there's money supply inflation, and there's price increase inflation. You'd think an increase in money supply would cause price increases, but its not necessarily so. No matter how much money everyone has, they're only going to buy so much milk. When there's a lot of demand for something that can be produced, the price often goes down because of increased production, i.e. computers, digital cameras, etc. Economies were growing before fractional reserve banking or fiat money.</p><p><br /></p><p>China currently holds 800 billion of our debt. That's $800 per person in china. That's bad enough, but we're not paying it, we're getting further in debt. The fact that other countries are as irresponsible as us might be good, but it has to come to a head. I'm over sixty, and I've never bought anything "on time" except houses. More and more people are seeing that debt is bad. But, our government seems to think we need to borrow our way to prosperity. I can't see that working.</p><p><br /></p><p>Thanks again, I do feel better. I now think the crash of the dollar may take longer than I thought. Fiat money is a Ponzi scheme. Ponzi schemes work fine, until people want to cash out. I don't think the G20 countries are going to let us take them down with them. When you eat toxic assets, it makes you toxic. Only gold will save us![/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="JoeSmith, post: 749042, member: 18021"]Thank you for a very well written reply. You obviously know a lot about finance. Not that I agree. I believe that past economic crises have been caused, not averted, by fractional reserve banking, fiat money, the federal reserve system and other such tools. "A common objective for all G-20 countries is political stability...no waving of pitchforks in the street please!" That's pretty easy to achieve, all you need is a scape goat. To this day Herbert Hoover is blamed for the great depression more than FDR. It will be easy for other countries to blame the US, they already blame us for everything. "A lot of the stimulus money (a huge number 700+ billion) that was printed is sitting in banks, not in circulation. Unless lending standards are eased and/or banks are willing to take more risks, that money isn't in play." I think the "money supply" is pretty irrelevent as regards supply/demand. Credit card limits should also be included. After all, if I really needed to buy something, I could always charge it if I didn't have the cash on hand. I remember when the Detroit Red Wings professional hockey team signed their first Russian player. The first time his wife went to an American grocery store, she wanted to buy ALL the meat they had. I married a russian woman, so I understand it. In russia, money didn't matter, because there was nothing to buy with it. Prices were cheap, but the stores were empty. Russians saw no value in saving money. During the carter years, my father put an 800 gallon gas tank in the ground, to make sure he's have gas. "...you need inflation at a reasonable rate to grow any economy.". There are 2 meanings of "inflation", there's money supply inflation, and there's price increase inflation. You'd think an increase in money supply would cause price increases, but its not necessarily so. No matter how much money everyone has, they're only going to buy so much milk. When there's a lot of demand for something that can be produced, the price often goes down because of increased production, i.e. computers, digital cameras, etc. Economies were growing before fractional reserve banking or fiat money. China currently holds 800 billion of our debt. That's $800 per person in china. That's bad enough, but we're not paying it, we're getting further in debt. The fact that other countries are as irresponsible as us might be good, but it has to come to a head. I'm over sixty, and I've never bought anything "on time" except houses. More and more people are seeing that debt is bad. But, our government seems to think we need to borrow our way to prosperity. I can't see that working. Thanks again, I do feel better. I now think the crash of the dollar may take longer than I thought. Fiat money is a Ponzi scheme. Ponzi schemes work fine, until people want to cash out. I don't think the G20 countries are going to let us take them down with them. When you eat toxic assets, it makes you toxic. Only gold will save us![/QUOTE]
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