Log in or Sign up
Coin Talk
Home
Forums
>
Coin Forums
>
Bullion Investing
>
Looks like a bubble to me
>
Reply to Thread
Message:
<p>[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 669683, member: 3011"]This part of your post deserves a bit more of an answer. First of all, there is a lot of evidence that inflation rates are and have been higher than the reported numbers for the past decade or more, ever since the calculation method was changed. Related to that is interest rates. Gold does very well when there are negative real rates of interest. So with real inflation somewhere in the 4% to 10% range [depending on how you measure it and who you believe], and interest rates around 1%, gold becomes the choice for preserving purchasing power. It's a little bit complicated to see the inflation now because many prices are falling even though the money supply is exploding. But this newly printed money will work its way through the economy in time. </p><p><br /></p><p>And don't forget that markets are typically forward looking, so higher gold prices now compared to several years ago might just be a forecast of much higher future inflation sparked by the bottomless pit of government spending.</p><p><br /></p><p>If you get your investment advice from the government telling you that all is well, then ignore everything written above and avoid gold in favor of long term bonds. <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie2" alt=";)" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" />[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 669683, member: 3011"]This part of your post deserves a bit more of an answer. First of all, there is a lot of evidence that inflation rates are and have been higher than the reported numbers for the past decade or more, ever since the calculation method was changed. Related to that is interest rates. Gold does very well when there are negative real rates of interest. So with real inflation somewhere in the 4% to 10% range [depending on how you measure it and who you believe], and interest rates around 1%, gold becomes the choice for preserving purchasing power. It's a little bit complicated to see the inflation now because many prices are falling even though the money supply is exploding. But this newly printed money will work its way through the economy in time. And don't forget that markets are typically forward looking, so higher gold prices now compared to several years ago might just be a forecast of much higher future inflation sparked by the bottomless pit of government spending. If you get your investment advice from the government telling you that all is well, then ignore everything written above and avoid gold in favor of long term bonds. ;)[/QUOTE]
Your name or email address:
Do you already have an account?
No, create an account now.
Yes, my password is:
Forgot your password?
Stay logged in
Coin Talk
Home
Forums
>
Coin Forums
>
Bullion Investing
>
Looks like a bubble to me
>
Home
Home
Quick Links
Search Forums
Recent Activity
Recent Posts
Forums
Forums
Quick Links
Search Forums
Recent Posts
Competitions
Competitions
Quick Links
Competition Index
Rules, Terms & Conditions
Gallery
Gallery
Quick Links
Search Media
New Media
Showcase
Showcase
Quick Links
Search Items
Most Active Members
New Items
Directory
Directory
Quick Links
Directory Home
New Listings
Members
Members
Quick Links
Notable Members
Current Visitors
Recent Activity
New Profile Posts
Sponsors
Menu
Search
Search titles only
Posted by Member:
Separate names with a comma.
Newer Than:
Search this thread only
Search this forum only
Display results as threads
Useful Searches
Recent Posts
More...