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<p>[QUOTE="cvicisso, post: 1311979, member: 29382"]Wow - this is a great thread with a lot of insight! And Jason - I wish everyone on the internet had your open-minded, humble attitude!</p><p><br /></p><p>My $.02 is as follows:</p><p><br /></p><p>For me, [physical] PMs are not a 'bet' for or against anything, but more like insurance against a monetary collapse, with the added benefit that you get to keep the money you put into it (in other words - if you're 'wrong' and the dollar does NOT collapse, you're left with a pile of gold, silver, platinum, etc... not too bad). If you're 'right' and we print the $ into oblivion, then you're covered too. The amount of 'insurance' (how much PM you buy) determines how <i>well </i>you are covered if the unthinkable does happen. You could do 'ok' or you could become an oligarch in the new world order (for lack of a better term). </p><p><br /></p><p>Again - I hope <i>it </i>DOESN'T happen... and if it doesn't... you're left with a pile of gold (or pick-your-favorite-PM). </p><p><br /></p><p>As the case for a monetary collapse gains more and more support (common sense says <i>something </i>needs to happen eventually), I'm putting more and more of my $ into gold and silver (physical - not ETFs), <u>but I still have most of my $ in stocks</u>. However, I do NOT believe that 'over the long term, my stocks are <i>guaranteed </i>to go up...' This is a very common [ubiquitous?], tempting, but dangerous viewpoint. If you've read Taleb's 'Black Swan' it's like the turkey on day 1000 (or whatever day it was): for 999 days it got pampered and fed like crazy, so it was natural for the turkey to assume that day 1000 (the day before Thanksgiving) would be similar. Bad assumption. Anything can happen. In life, the stock market, the grocery store, anywhere... Past performance is not indicative of future results. Ever. </p><p><br /></p><p>Critics of PM 'investment' often say things like 'the gold bugs have been saying that for years and look - there was no economic collapse! Pffft! C'mon!' But, just like insurance for your house, your car, your family, or whatever... when investing in PMs to cover yourself (and/or your family) in the event of an emergency (monetary meltdown in this case) <span style="color: #ff0000"><b>I would rather be two years early than one day late</b></span>. </p><p><br /></p><p>Personally, I would avoid PMs as a derivative-type investment. There are too many other options (pun intended).[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="cvicisso, post: 1311979, member: 29382"]Wow - this is a great thread with a lot of insight! And Jason - I wish everyone on the internet had your open-minded, humble attitude! My $.02 is as follows: For me, [physical] PMs are not a 'bet' for or against anything, but more like insurance against a monetary collapse, with the added benefit that you get to keep the money you put into it (in other words - if you're 'wrong' and the dollar does NOT collapse, you're left with a pile of gold, silver, platinum, etc... not too bad). If you're 'right' and we print the $ into oblivion, then you're covered too. The amount of 'insurance' (how much PM you buy) determines how [I]well [/I]you are covered if the unthinkable does happen. You could do 'ok' or you could become an oligarch in the new world order (for lack of a better term). Again - I hope [I]it [/I]DOESN'T happen... and if it doesn't... you're left with a pile of gold (or pick-your-favorite-PM). As the case for a monetary collapse gains more and more support (common sense says [I]something [/I]needs to happen eventually), I'm putting more and more of my $ into gold and silver (physical - not ETFs), [U]but I still have most of my $ in stocks[/U]. However, I do NOT believe that 'over the long term, my stocks are [I]guaranteed [/I]to go up...' This is a very common [ubiquitous?], tempting, but dangerous viewpoint. If you've read Taleb's 'Black Swan' it's like the turkey on day 1000 (or whatever day it was): for 999 days it got pampered and fed like crazy, so it was natural for the turkey to assume that day 1000 (the day before Thanksgiving) would be similar. Bad assumption. Anything can happen. In life, the stock market, the grocery store, anywhere... Past performance is not indicative of future results. Ever. Critics of PM 'investment' often say things like 'the gold bugs have been saying that for years and look - there was no economic collapse! Pffft! C'mon!' But, just like insurance for your house, your car, your family, or whatever... when investing in PMs to cover yourself (and/or your family) in the event of an emergency (monetary meltdown in this case) [COLOR=#ff0000][B]I would rather be two years early than one day late[/B][/COLOR]. Personally, I would avoid PMs as a derivative-type investment. There are too many other options (pun intended).[/QUOTE]
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