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<p>[QUOTE="x78089, post: 1309982, member: 3309"]There is little else that can be suggested. There are very few I have seen post that are more level headed than cloudsweeper. Being of a similar age as you I can understand the angst of looking forward. My first opinion: avoid all 2x ETFs. whether bull or bear they will get you in trouble unless you are following them on a second by second basis on a bloomberg terminal. They are deigned as short term trades, not to be held for any length of time (by this I mean days). I would also suggest you diversify. Own a little of everything and change your allocations based upon your future prognosis. This way if you are wrong it doesn't wipe you out. Lastly, stop hanging out with other economists (slightly tongue in cheek). I find that most people associate with others who see things the way they do and this leads to group think. From my experience (undergraduate at USMA) economically inclined individuals tend to be the worst in this respect. They will ignore or twist facts counter to their argument long past the point of ridiculousness. </p><p><br /></p><p>but, remember this advice is worth what you have paid for it <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie1" alt=":)" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" /> DYODD</p><p><br /></p><p>Ryan</p><p><br /></p><p>EDIT: I just went back and read all the posts after cloudsweepers and realized I was beaten to the groupthink idea. hopefully this reinforces the point.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="x78089, post: 1309982, member: 3309"]There is little else that can be suggested. There are very few I have seen post that are more level headed than cloudsweeper. Being of a similar age as you I can understand the angst of looking forward. My first opinion: avoid all 2x ETFs. whether bull or bear they will get you in trouble unless you are following them on a second by second basis on a bloomberg terminal. They are deigned as short term trades, not to be held for any length of time (by this I mean days). I would also suggest you diversify. Own a little of everything and change your allocations based upon your future prognosis. This way if you are wrong it doesn't wipe you out. Lastly, stop hanging out with other economists (slightly tongue in cheek). I find that most people associate with others who see things the way they do and this leads to group think. From my experience (undergraduate at USMA) economically inclined individuals tend to be the worst in this respect. They will ignore or twist facts counter to their argument long past the point of ridiculousness. but, remember this advice is worth what you have paid for it :) DYODD Ryan EDIT: I just went back and read all the posts after cloudsweepers and realized I was beaten to the groupthink idea. hopefully this reinforces the point.[/QUOTE]
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