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<p>[QUOTE="Juan Blanco, post: 1588113, member: 41665"]I am wondering what effect (if any) Iran's secretive Gold trade has had on global bullion prices. Since late 2008, it seems Iran has been buying up Gold through numerous gateways, to circumvent sanctions. The Turkey-Iran Gold story isn't exactly news but hints at a much bigger trade ... distorting/inflating the global bullion market ~+25% or so? Has anyone else been following this story?</p><p><br /></p><p>Throughout this decade, <b>Turkey has been one of the world's top five buyers of gold bullion.</b> In 2007, Turkey imported 231 metric tonnes (USD$ 5.7 bln) and exported 157.8 m.t. of processed gold, worth $3.7 billion. Of total Gold production in 2007, 265 m.t (~73%) was jewlery (export & domestic; higher valuation) and 73 m.t (20.2%) was investment-grade Gold Coin/Bullion. In Turkey - U.S. Trade Talks in early 2008, State Minister Tuzmen reported Turkish Gold export to the USA was $300 mln, the largest part of their trade w/ the USA.</p><p><br /></p><p><b>Of Turkey's Gold Coin/Bullion Production in 2007, it was estimated ~10 m.t. was exported ($301.5 mln) and 63.2 m.t. ($2 bln) "hoarded."</b></p><p><b></b><a href="http://www.turkey-now.org/db/Docs/Sector%20Reports/Sector%20Reports%202008/JEWELLERY.pdf" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://www.turkey-now.org/db/Docs/Sector%20Reports/Sector%20Reports%202008/JEWELLERY.pdf" rel="nofollow">http://www.turkey-now.org/db/Docs/Sector Reports/Sector Reports 2008/JEWELLERY.pdf</a></p><p><br /></p><p>In 2008 Turkey's total Gold export rose to $5 billion;<b> its largest market no longer the United States ($209 mln, jewelry) </b>, the Turkish Gold export to the USA fell by 1/3rd! Countries such as Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Turkmenistan (Iran's close neighbors, and fronting?) were increasingly imports of Turkish Gold at this time. In 2008, "rising scrap sales meant refineries minted so much bullion in Turkey that it was exported for sale on the international market -- a new trend for the country." But other weird things were reported, including Gold exports FROM Iran TO Turkey in 2008 and 2009:</p><p><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/sep/17/imf-investigate-turkish-treasury-money" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/sep/17/imf-investigate-turkish-treasury-money" rel="nofollow">http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/sep/17/imf-investigate-turkish-treasury-money</a></p><p><br /></p><p>Data from the USGS Minerals Report for the Middle East for 2008 (Sept 2010) suggests Iran has been importing/routing 'investment Gold' via UAE since 2008 at least.</p><p><a href="http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/country/2008/myb3-sum-2008-middle-east.pdf" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/country/2008/myb3-sum-2008-middle-east.pdf" rel="nofollow">http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/country/2008/myb3-sum-2008-middle-east.pdf</a></p><p><b>"Until the end of 2008, the UAE gold refineries produced gold that was used entirely by the jewelry market. After 2008, refined gold was often used as an investment product, </b>such as in exchange trade funds and gold futures (Shekhar, 2010) ... The <b>value of gold trade at the Dubai Multi Commodities Center (DMCC) increased to $29 billion in 2008, which was an increase of 53% </b>compared with a value of $19 billion in 2007. The volume of gold exports in 2008 increased to 371 mt from 287 mt in 2007, or by 29%. <b>The volume of gold imports in 2008 increased to 674 t from 559 t in 2007, which was an increase of 21% </b>(Dubai Multi Commodities Center, 2009).</p><p><br /></p><p>According to the Turkish newspaper <i>Hürriyet Daily News "</i>The export figure {All Exports, to Iran} was about $2 billion in 2008 and 2009, $3 billion in 2010 and $3.6 billion in 2011, according to data from the Ministry of Economy." It's not clear was part was Gold, in 2011, Turkey's <i>official </i>Gold export to Iran was ... LOL ... just $7,500. !!!! Realistically, Turkey's Gold Export to Iran has grown exponentially in 2009-2012. <b>In 2012, Turkey's Gold export to Iran rose to an estimated $14.3 bln/ann.</b></p><p><b></b>"The figures show Turkey exported $1.2bn of gold in October alone, bringing exports of the precious metal for the year so far to $11.9bn, 9.5 per cent of the country’s total exports – compared with 0.8 per cent for the same period a year before. Ankara recently acknowledged that Iran was buying gold with the receipts from its gas sales to Turkey and shipping bullion out of the country"</p><p><a href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/e1b320ba-3b16-11e2-b111-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2ENedORzh" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/e1b320ba-3b16-11e2-b111-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2ENedORzh" rel="nofollow">http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/e1b320ba-3b16-11e2-b111-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2ENedORzh</a></p><p><br /></p><p>In Summer 2012, most of the Turkey-Iran gold trade routed via UAE: "In August, Turkish government statistics show that the UAE suddenly replaced Iran as Turkey's chief export market. However, the main Turkish export to the UAE was gold -- $1.9 billion worth in August alone. Dubai has traditionally been the world's most important economic gateway to Iran." <a href="http://www.asapvasa.com/site/News/newsdetail/639" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://www.asapvasa.com/site/News/newsdetail/639" rel="nofollow">http://www.asapvasa.com/site/News/newsdetail/639</a>[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Juan Blanco, post: 1588113, member: 41665"]I am wondering what effect (if any) Iran's secretive Gold trade has had on global bullion prices. Since late 2008, it seems Iran has been buying up Gold through numerous gateways, to circumvent sanctions. The Turkey-Iran Gold story isn't exactly news but hints at a much bigger trade ... distorting/inflating the global bullion market ~+25% or so? Has anyone else been following this story? Throughout this decade, [B]Turkey has been one of the world's top five buyers of gold bullion.[/B] In 2007, Turkey imported 231 metric tonnes (USD$ 5.7 bln) and exported 157.8 m.t. of processed gold, worth $3.7 billion. Of total Gold production in 2007, 265 m.t (~73%) was jewlery (export & domestic; higher valuation) and 73 m.t (20.2%) was investment-grade Gold Coin/Bullion. In Turkey - U.S. Trade Talks in early 2008, State Minister Tuzmen reported Turkish Gold export to the USA was $300 mln, the largest part of their trade w/ the USA. [B]Of Turkey's Gold Coin/Bullion Production in 2007, it was estimated ~10 m.t. was exported ($301.5 mln) and 63.2 m.t. ($2 bln) "hoarded." [/B][URL]http://www.turkey-now.org/db/Docs/Sector%20Reports/Sector%20Reports%202008/JEWELLERY.pdf[/URL] In 2008 Turkey's total Gold export rose to $5 billion;[B] its largest market no longer the United States ($209 mln, jewelry) [/B], the Turkish Gold export to the USA fell by 1/3rd! Countries such as Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Turkmenistan (Iran's close neighbors, and fronting?) were increasingly imports of Turkish Gold at this time. In 2008, "rising scrap sales meant refineries minted so much bullion in Turkey that it was exported for sale on the international market -- a new trend for the country." But other weird things were reported, including Gold exports FROM Iran TO Turkey in 2008 and 2009: [URL]http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/sep/17/imf-investigate-turkish-treasury-money[/URL] Data from the USGS Minerals Report for the Middle East for 2008 (Sept 2010) suggests Iran has been importing/routing 'investment Gold' via UAE since 2008 at least. [URL]http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/country/2008/myb3-sum-2008-middle-east.pdf[/URL] [B]"Until the end of 2008, the UAE gold refineries produced gold that was used entirely by the jewelry market. After 2008, refined gold was often used as an investment product, [/B]such as in exchange trade funds and gold futures (Shekhar, 2010) ... The [B]value of gold trade at the Dubai Multi Commodities Center (DMCC) increased to $29 billion in 2008, which was an increase of 53% [/B]compared with a value of $19 billion in 2007. The volume of gold exports in 2008 increased to 371 mt from 287 mt in 2007, or by 29%. [B]The volume of gold imports in 2008 increased to 674 t from 559 t in 2007, which was an increase of 21% [/B](Dubai Multi Commodities Center, 2009). According to the Turkish newspaper [I]Hürriyet Daily News "[/I]The export figure {All Exports, to Iran} was about $2 billion in 2008 and 2009, $3 billion in 2010 and $3.6 billion in 2011, according to data from the Ministry of Economy." It's not clear was part was Gold, in 2011, Turkey's [I]official [/I]Gold export to Iran was ... LOL ... just $7,500. !!!! Realistically, Turkey's Gold Export to Iran has grown exponentially in 2009-2012. [B]In 2012, Turkey's Gold export to Iran rose to an estimated $14.3 bln/ann. [/B]"The figures show Turkey exported $1.2bn of gold in October alone, bringing exports of the precious metal for the year so far to $11.9bn, 9.5 per cent of the country’s total exports – compared with 0.8 per cent for the same period a year before. Ankara recently acknowledged that Iran was buying gold with the receipts from its gas sales to Turkey and shipping bullion out of the country" [URL]http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/e1b320ba-3b16-11e2-b111-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2ENedORzh[/URL] In Summer 2012, most of the Turkey-Iran gold trade routed via UAE: "In August, Turkish government statistics show that the UAE suddenly replaced Iran as Turkey's chief export market. However, the main Turkish export to the UAE was gold -- $1.9 billion worth in August alone. Dubai has traditionally been the world's most important economic gateway to Iran." [URL]http://www.asapvasa.com/site/News/newsdetail/639[/URL][/QUOTE]
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