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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;medoraman, post: 1265992, member: 26302&quot;]The price of a case of avacados in CA wholesalers is a measure of value. I also used an inverse relationship to central valley mean temps and a couple of other modefiers to be able to backfit a relationship. It was all BS made up to make a point Inflexion. Backfitting is the most nefarious, dangerous game in Finance since it LOOKS GOOD, and it LOOKS like it predicts the future very well. Backfitted patterns is how the moderately sophisticated get swindled, since the swindle is harder to see.</p><p><br /></p><p>Anyway, my point sir is WHY is that chart worth the virtual paper its printed on? WHY do you believe those trends will continue? WHY do you believe there will be a reversion to the mean on that graph? Those answers are the important ones, not the graph itself. A graph showing something without a reason why might as well be the &quot;avacado index&quot;.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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