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<p>[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 1265298, member: 3011"]I don't think investing involves anticipating things that don't exist. It usually involves either seeing things that exist that others are overlooking, or looking out into the future and making a better evaluation of current trends better than the masses. When you anticipate things that don't exist, you are guessing. Apple, Microsoft and IBM were fantastic investments. But it is easier to see that now in hindsight, and forget about the hundreds of other companies in their fields that didn't make it. To take a current example, you can look at a list of all of the biotech companies with sales under $100M, but how easy is it to forecast which ones in the group will have revenues of $10billion or more 20 years from now based on ideas that don't exist yet? If it could be done with a high degree of probability, everyone would be rich.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 1265298, member: 3011"]I don't think investing involves anticipating things that don't exist. It usually involves either seeing things that exist that others are overlooking, or looking out into the future and making a better evaluation of current trends better than the masses. When you anticipate things that don't exist, you are guessing. Apple, Microsoft and IBM were fantastic investments. But it is easier to see that now in hindsight, and forget about the hundreds of other companies in their fields that didn't make it. To take a current example, you can look at a list of all of the biotech companies with sales under $100M, but how easy is it to forecast which ones in the group will have revenues of $10billion or more 20 years from now based on ideas that don't exist yet? If it could be done with a high degree of probability, everyone would be rich.[/QUOTE]
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