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<p>[QUOTE="Smitty, post: 1360021, member: 35044"]I've read Graham's book. It's definitely on the list of books that should be read by serious investors. I've recommended Fundamental Analysis for Dummies to beginners as a starting point. It's actually not a bad book. You're right, theoretically, in general, value investing should work over the long term.</p><p><br /></p><p>We probably only differ in that a true value investor looks at the market bottom-up, and I look at it top-down. But we both still calculate the value of companies. It's just that value investors do it first and I do it last. You probably have found an approach that suits you well.</p><p><br /></p><p>I certainly don't recommended, and in fact, cannot explain in few words my specific approach to investing. It's just too fluid and involves too many varying inputs. It is not "formulaic", although you could say that "currently" the majority of my investments are based loosely upon macro trends. But I will hit-and-run when I see the opportunity. I've studied and used a lot of approaches to finally get to the one that suits me.</p><p><br /></p><p>My issue with picking an approach, any "static" approach, is that it can go wrong for long periods of time. Even Buffett has done poorly for quite a while. Can you sit there losing money, waiting ... hoping for it to reverse and for the market to come back to its fundamental senses? Some people can. I can't. At least not with stocks. The "time value of money" just eats away at my psyche. And my experience tells me that I can usually find something better, even if it's only cash. As Keynes said, the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. </p><p><br /></p><p>However, I do believe that with any approach you pick, knowledge is king.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Smitty, post: 1360021, member: 35044"]I've read Graham's book. It's definitely on the list of books that should be read by serious investors. I've recommended Fundamental Analysis for Dummies to beginners as a starting point. It's actually not a bad book. You're right, theoretically, in general, value investing should work over the long term. We probably only differ in that a true value investor looks at the market bottom-up, and I look at it top-down. But we both still calculate the value of companies. It's just that value investors do it first and I do it last. You probably have found an approach that suits you well. I certainly don't recommended, and in fact, cannot explain in few words my specific approach to investing. It's just too fluid and involves too many varying inputs. It is not "formulaic", although you could say that "currently" the majority of my investments are based loosely upon macro trends. But I will hit-and-run when I see the opportunity. I've studied and used a lot of approaches to finally get to the one that suits me. My issue with picking an approach, any "static" approach, is that it can go wrong for long periods of time. Even Buffett has done poorly for quite a while. Can you sit there losing money, waiting ... hoping for it to reverse and for the market to come back to its fundamental senses? Some people can. I can't. At least not with stocks. The "time value of money" just eats away at my psyche. And my experience tells me that I can usually find something better, even if it's only cash. As Keynes said, the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. However, I do believe that with any approach you pick, knowledge is king.[/QUOTE]
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